Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$613k - $620k 65%
>$62萬 30%
$606k - $613k 17%
$592k - $599k 5.2%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
$599,000 - $606,000
4%
低於$585,000
9%
$606k - $613k
22%
$585k - $592k
1%
$592k - $599k
5%
$613k - $620k
65%
>$62萬
24%
$613k - $620k 65%
>$62萬 30%
$606k - $613k 17%
$592k - $599k 5.2%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
$599,000 - $606,000
$640 交易量
4%
低於$585,000
$197 交易量
9%
$606k - $613k
$964 交易量
22%
$585k - $592k
$247 交易量
1%
$592k - $599k
$397 交易量
5%
$613k - $620k
$505 交易量
65%
>$62萬
$394 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
市場開放時間： Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
交易量
$3,344結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
交易量
$3,344結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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