Recent data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices near $876K with 3% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and modest buyer demand despite mortgage rates around 6%. Trader consensus at roughly even implied probabilities across $555K–$689K+ buckets on September 30 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing 1–4% appreciation forecasts will hold through summer or yield to rate sensitivity and seasonal softening. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any FOMC signals on the policy rate path, and borough-level divergences where outer-borough resilience contrasts with flatter Manhattan values, all of which could shift the median within the tightly contested ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$555K - $582K 39.9%
$636K - $663K 38%
$609K - $636K 23%
$582K - $609K 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<$555K
9%
$555K - $582K
40%
$582K - $609K
10%
$609K - $636K
29%
$636K - $663K
38%
$663K - $689K
44%
$689K+
37%
$555K - $582K 39.9%
$636K - $663K 38%
$609K - $636K 23%
$582K - $609K 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<$555K
$270 交易量
9%
$555K - $582K
$224 交易量
40%
$582K - $609K
$204 交易量
10%
$609K - $636K
$499 交易量
29%
$636K - $663K
$387 交易量
38%
$663K - $689K
$209 交易量
44%
$689K+
$122 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices near $876K with 3% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and modest buyer demand despite mortgage rates around 6%. Trader consensus at roughly even implied probabilities across $555K–$689K+ buckets on September 30 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing 1–4% appreciation forecasts will hold through summer or yield to rate sensitivity and seasonal softening. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any FOMC signals on the policy rate path, and borough-level divergences where outer-borough resilience contrasts with flatter Manhattan values, all of which could shift the median within the tightly contested ranges.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,915結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices near $876K with 3% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and modest buyer demand despite mortgage rates around 6%. Trader consensus at roughly even implied probabilities across $555K–$689K+ buckets on September 30 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing 1–4% appreciation forecasts will hold through summer or yield to rate sensitivity and seasonal softening. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any FOMC signals on the policy rate path, and borough-level divergences where outer-borough resilience contrasts with flatter Manhattan values, all of which could shift the median within the tightly contested ranges.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
交易量
$1,915結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices near $876K with 3% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and modest buyer demand despite mortgage rates around 6%. Trader consensus at roughly even implied probabilities across $555K–$689K+ buckets on September 30 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing 1–4% appreciation forecasts will hold through summer or yield to rate sensitivity and seasonal softening. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any FOMC signals on the policy rate path, and borough-level divergences where outer-borough resilience contrasts with flatter Manhattan values, all of which could shift the median within the tightly contested ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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