Skip to main content
icon for 9月30日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？
經濟艙·Parcl

9月30日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？

icon for 9月30日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？
經濟艙·Parcl

9月30日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？

9月 30

9月 30

低於$419K 55.4%

419,000美元 - 426,000美元 31.5%

426,000美元 - 433,000美元 4.5%

$433K - $440K 2.2%

Polymarket

$54,055 交易量

低於$419K 55.4%

419,000美元 - 426,000美元 31.5%

426,000美元 - 433,000美元 4.5%

$433K - $440K 2.2%

Polymarket

$54,055 交易量

低於$419K

$16,710 交易量

55%

419,000美元 - 426,000美元

$11,032 交易量

32%

426,000美元 - 433,000美元

$5,739 交易量

4%

$433K - $440K

$12,353 交易量

2%

$440K - $447K

$3,627 交易量

<1%

$447K - $454K

$4,053 交易量

<1%

454,000美元以上

$542 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent data releases showing U.S. median home sale prices near $409,000 in June 2026, combined with persistently elevated 30-year mortgage rates around 6.5%, have anchored trader sentiment toward the sub-$419,000 outcome. Thin inventory and soft buyer demand have capped appreciation, with year-over-year gains slowing to 1-2% in several national indexes and some listing-price measures posting the sharpest annual declines in nearly a decade. J.P. Morgan’s flat 2026 price forecast and Zillow’s near-zero expected appreciation through year-end reinforce the view that seasonal patterns and affordability constraints will likely keep September values clustered in the lower probability bands. The next round of housing statistics ahead of the September 30 resolution could introduce modest volatility if inventory or rate trends shift.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
交易量
$54,055
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent data releases showing U.S. median home sale prices near $409,000 in June 2026, combined with persistently elevated 30-year mortgage rates around 6.5%, have anchored trader sentiment toward the sub-$419,000 outcome. Thin inventory and soft buyer demand have capped appreciation, with year-over-year gains slowing to 1-2% in several national indexes and some listing-price measures posting the sharpest annual declines in nearly a decade. J.P. Morgan’s flat 2026 price forecast and Zillow’s near-zero expected appreciation through year-end reinforce the view that seasonal patterns and affordability constraints will likely keep September values clustered in the lower probability bands. The next round of housing statistics ahead of the September 30 resolution could introduce modest volatility if inventory or rate trends shift.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
交易量
$54,055
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)

相關

icon for 2024年9月30日洛杉磯都會區的房屋中位價是否會介於$1,137,000和$1,153,000之間？

2024年9月30日洛杉磯都會區的房屋中位價是否會介於$1,137,000和$1,153,000之間？

38%
是
icon for 9月30日邁阿密的房屋中位價會在$1,089,000到$1,125,000之間嗎？

9月30日邁阿密的房屋中位價會在$1,089,000到$1,125,000之間嗎？

49%
是
icon for 2023年9月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋中位價會低於1,176,000美元嗎？

2023年9月30日，舊金山都會區的房屋中位價會低於1,176,000美元嗎？

58%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"9月30日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "低於$419K" at 55%, followed by "419,000美元 - 426,000美元" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "9月30日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？" has generated $54.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "9月30日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "9月30日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is "低於$419K" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "419,000美元 - 426,000美元" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "9月30日美國的房屋價值中位數是多少？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.