Skip to main content
icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
經濟艙·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
經濟艙·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

442 - 445k 18%

432 - 434k 17%

Polymarket
最新

436 - 438k 24%

434 - 436k 22%

442 - 445k 18%

432 - 434k 17%

Polymarket
最新

<432k

$0 交易量

13%

432 - 434k

$78 交易量

17%

434 - 436k

$78 交易量

20%

436 - 438k

$87 交易量

22%

438 - 440k

$0 交易量

16%

440 - 442k

$0 交易量

13%

442 - 445k

$40 交易量

11%

>445k

$37 交易量

8%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.2% continue to constrain buyer demand and moderate U.S. median home value growth, with March 2026 Redfin data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise to $436,523 amid only modest existing-home sales gains of 0.2% in April. Traders appear to price the May 31 reading near the recent $434k–$438k cluster because inventory has edged higher while price appreciation slows to its lowest pace in years, creating a narrow band of outcomes. Key swing factors include any further inventory build or seasonal demand shifts ahead of the next housing reports, as real-capital positioning reflects consensus that persistent rate pressure will limit upside beyond current levels.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
交易量
$319
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.2% continue to constrain buyer demand and moderate U.S. median home value growth, with March 2026 Redfin data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise to $436,523 amid only modest existing-home sales gains of 0.2% in April. Traders appear to price the May 31 reading near the recent $434k–$438k cluster because inventory has edged higher while price appreciation slows to its lowest pace in years, creating a narrow band of outcomes. Key swing factors include any further inventory build or seasonal demand shifts ahead of the next housing reports, as real-capital positioning reflects consensus that persistent rate pressure will limit upside beyond current levels.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
交易量
$319
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "436 - 438k" at 22%, followed by "434 - 436k" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?" is "436 - 438k" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "434 - 436k" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.