哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？

Name: 哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？
Start: 2026-06-01T18:05:52.115Z
End: 2026-12-31T17:00:00.000Z

6月 30

12月 31

6月 30

12月 31

$110,298 交易量

2026-12-31

黎巴嫩

$28,765 交易量

72%

委內瑞拉

$5,429 交易量

19%

敘利亞

$5,810 交易量

13%

沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,851 交易量

13%

突尼西亞

$6,244 交易量

12%

古巴

$1,524 交易量

11%

印尼

$2,544 交易量

11%

孟加拉

$7,029 交易量

科威特

$4,760 交易量

伊朗

$4,036 交易量

卡塔爾

$7,325 交易量

伊拉克

$613 交易量

巴基斯坦

$2,382 交易量

朝鮮

$1,789 交易量

阿富汗

$10,122 交易量

馬來西亞

$4,076 交易量

$110,298 交易量

黎巴嫩

$28,765 交易量

72%

委內瑞拉

$5,429 交易量

19%

敘利亞

$5,810 交易量

13%

沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,851 交易量

13%

突尼西亞

$6,244 交易量

12%

古巴

$1,524 交易量

11%

印尼

$2,544 交易量

11%

孟加拉

$7,029 交易量

科威特

$4,760 交易量

伊朗

$4,036 交易量

卡塔爾

$7,325 交易量

伊拉克

$613 交易量

巴基斯坦

$2,382 交易量

朝鮮

$1,789 交易量

阿富汗

$10,122 交易量

馬來西亞

$4,076 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "黎巴嫩" at 72%, followed by "委內瑞拉" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" has generated $110.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" is "黎巴嫩" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "委內瑞拉" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $110.3K traded on “哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 72¢ for "黎巴嫩" in the "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 72% chance that "黎巴嫩" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 72¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 28¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" market has an active community of 50 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？

哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (50)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？"?

What are the current odds for "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？"?

How will "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" be resolved?

Can I follow "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？"?

What does a price of 72¢ for "黎巴嫩" mean?

When does the "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" market close?

What are traders saying about "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？"?

What is Polymarket?