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地緣政治·以色列

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？

icon for 哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？
地緣政治·以色列

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？

$329,550 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$329,550 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 北韓

北韓

$30,279 交易量

2%

icon for 古巴

古巴

$47,290 交易量

1%

icon for 沙烏地阿拉伯

沙烏地阿拉伯

$19,169 交易量

3%

icon for 黎巴嫩

黎巴嫩

$44,387 交易量

4%

icon for 阿富汗

阿富汗

$17,200 交易量

1%

icon for 伊拉克

伊拉克

$26,409 交易量

2%

icon for 巴基斯坦

巴基斯坦

$7,225 交易量

1%

icon for 敘利亞

敘利亞

$12,783 交易量

3%

icon for 委內瑞拉

委內瑞拉

$86,323 交易量

1%

icon for 突尼斯

突尼斯

$1,238 交易量

1%

icon for 科威特

科威特

$1,511 交易量

1%

icon for 卡達

卡達

$2,244 交易量

2%

icon for 印尼

印尼

$9,054 交易量

1%

icon for 馬來西亞

馬來西亞

$22,158 交易量

1%

icon for 孟加拉國

孟加拉國

$2,280 交易量

3%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of May 2026, no countries have newly recognized Israel since November 2025, leaving trader consensus focused on the 29 longstanding holdouts—primarily Muslim-majority states like Algeria, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Malaysia, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Syria, plus Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela. The Abraham Accords' expansion in 2020 remains the last major diplomatic breakthrough, with UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan joining. Recent U.S. appeals to Saudi Arabia amid Iran tensions in March failed to advance normalization, while April condemnations from Riyadh over Israel's Somaliland envoy underscored persistent Arab opposition. Ongoing Gaza conflict and Western recognitions of Palestine have stalled momentum; watch for potential Saudi or Indonesian shifts before June 30 deadline, though geopolitical barriers loom large.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$329,550
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of May 2026, no countries have newly recognized Israel since November 2025, leaving trader consensus focused on the 29 longstanding holdouts—primarily Muslim-majority states like Algeria, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Malaysia, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Syria, plus Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela. The Abraham Accords' expansion in 2020 remains the last major diplomatic breakthrough, with UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan joining. Recent U.S. appeals to Saudi Arabia amid Iran tensions in March failed to advance normalization, while April condemnations from Riyadh over Israel's Somaliland envoy underscored persistent Arab opposition. Ongoing Gaza conflict and Western recognitions of Palestine have stalled momentum; watch for potential Saudi or Indonesian shifts before June 30 deadline, though geopolitical barriers loom large.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$329,550
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "黎巴嫩" at 4%, followed by "沙烏地阿拉伯" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" has generated $329.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" is "黎巴嫩" at just 4%, with "沙烏地阿拉伯" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.