Israel's President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu's November 2025 pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward a plea deal between the prime minister and the Attorney General. A March 2026 opinion from the Justice Ministry's pardons department indicated that clemency would be inappropriate absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or conviction, amid reported external pressure. As of mid-2026, no pardon has been issued, and the process remains stalled pending those negotiations. Traders assign low implied probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026 dates, reflecting the procedural barriers, Herzog's stated conditions, and the uncertain timeline for any plea agreement or political shift that could alter the path to clemency.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$477,873 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
8%
$477,873 交易量
12月31日
$6,855 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu's November 2025 pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward a plea deal between the prime minister and the Attorney General. A March 2026 opinion from the Justice Ministry's pardons department indicated that clemency would be inappropriate absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or conviction, amid reported external pressure. As of mid-2026, no pardon has been issued, and the process remains stalled pending those negotiations. Traders assign low implied probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026 dates, reflecting the procedural barriers, Herzog's stated conditions, and the uncertain timeline for any plea agreement or political shift that could alter the path to clemency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
交易量
$477,873結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu's November 2025 pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward a plea deal between the prime minister and the Attorney General. A March 2026 opinion from the Justice Ministry's pardons department indicated that clemency would be inappropriate absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or conviction, amid reported external pressure. As of mid-2026, no pardon has been issued, and the process remains stalled pending those negotiations. Traders assign low implied probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026 dates, reflecting the procedural barriers, Herzog's stated conditions, and the uncertain timeline for any plea agreement or political shift that could alter the path to clemency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$477,873結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu's November 2025 pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward a plea deal between the prime minister and the Attorney General. A March 2026 opinion from the Justice Ministry's pardons department indicated that clemency would be inappropriate absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or conviction, amid reported external pressure. As of mid-2026, no pardon has been issued, and the process remains stalled pending those negotiations. Traders assign low implied probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026 dates, reflecting the procedural barriers, Herzog's stated conditions, and the uncertain timeline for any plea agreement or political shift that could alter the path to clemency.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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