Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, who formed his 24-member cabinet in February 2025 after parliamentary nomination, faces a closely balanced outlook on remaining in office through 2026 as traders weigh his push for reforms and state control of weapons against persistent domestic and regional pressures. Recent diplomatic engagement, including ceasefire coordination with Israel and discussions on Hezbollah disarmament, has strengthened his position as the first full government since 2022, yet political fragmentation in parliament and reconstruction challenges after the conflict create pathways for coalition shifts or no-confidence pressures. Success in securing international support for economic stabilization or border stability could solidify his tenure, while stalled negotiations or opposition from entrenched factions might accelerate cabinet changes before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, who formed his 24-member cabinet in February 2025 after parliamentary nomination, faces a closely balanced outlook on remaining in office through 2026 as traders weigh his push for reforms and state control of weapons against persistent domestic and regional pressures. Recent diplomatic engagement, including ceasefire coordination with Israel and discussions on Hezbollah disarmament, has strengthened his position as the first full government since 2022, yet political fragmentation in parliament and reconstruction challenges after the conflict create pathways for coalition shifts or no-confidence pressures. Success in securing international support for economic stabilization or border stability could solidify his tenure, while stalled negotiations or opposition from entrenched factions might accelerate cabinet changes before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
交易量
$119結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, who formed his 24-member cabinet in February 2025 after parliamentary nomination, faces a closely balanced outlook on remaining in office through 2026 as traders weigh his push for reforms and state control of weapons against persistent domestic and regional pressures. Recent diplomatic engagement, including ceasefire coordination with Israel and discussions on Hezbollah disarmament, has strengthened his position as the first full government since 2022, yet political fragmentation in parliament and reconstruction challenges after the conflict create pathways for coalition shifts or no-confidence pressures. Success in securing international support for economic stabilization or border stability could solidify his tenure, while stalled negotiations or opposition from entrenched factions might accelerate cabinet changes before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$119結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, who formed his 24-member cabinet in February 2025 after parliamentary nomination, faces a closely balanced outlook on remaining in office through 2026 as traders weigh his push for reforms and state control of weapons against persistent domestic and regional pressures. Recent diplomatic engagement, including ceasefire coordination with Israel and discussions on Hezbollah disarmament, has strengthened his position as the first full government since 2022, yet political fragmentation in parliament and reconstruction challenges after the conflict create pathways for coalition shifts or no-confidence pressures. Success in securing international support for economic stabilization or border stability could solidify his tenure, while stalled negotiations or opposition from entrenched factions might accelerate cabinet changes before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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