Israel and Hezbollah have held no direct diplomatic meetings, with Hezbollah leaders repeatedly rejecting negotiations with Israel amid ongoing border hostilities. Instead, US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon—excluding Hezbollah—resumed in April 2026, yielding a 10-day cessation of hostilities extended by three weeks, though both sides report violations including Israeli strikes killing Hezbollah commanders and Hezbollah rocket attacks into northern Israel. Trader consensus reflects Hezbollah's firm stance against direct diplomacy and its continued military actions, diminishing prospects for a breakthrough. Upcoming intensive Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington on May 14-15 focus on ceasefire solidification and potential Hezbollah disarmament, but persistent escalations like recent UAV attacks signal high uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,935 交易量
2026-05-31
May 31
4%
$28,935 交易量
May 31
$10,134 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Hezbollah have held no direct diplomatic meetings, with Hezbollah leaders repeatedly rejecting negotiations with Israel amid ongoing border hostilities. Instead, US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon—excluding Hezbollah—resumed in April 2026, yielding a 10-day cessation of hostilities extended by three weeks, though both sides report violations including Israeli strikes killing Hezbollah commanders and Hezbollah rocket attacks into northern Israel. Trader consensus reflects Hezbollah's firm stance against direct diplomacy and its continued military actions, diminishing prospects for a breakthrough. Upcoming intensive Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington on May 14-15 focus on ceasefire solidification and potential Hezbollah disarmament, but persistent escalations like recent UAV attacks signal high uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
交易量
$28,935結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Hezbollah have held no direct diplomatic meetings, with Hezbollah leaders repeatedly rejecting negotiations with Israel amid ongoing border hostilities. Instead, US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon—excluding Hezbollah—resumed in April 2026, yielding a 10-day cessation of hostilities extended by three weeks, though both sides report violations including Israeli strikes killing Hezbollah commanders and Hezbollah rocket attacks into northern Israel. Trader consensus reflects Hezbollah's firm stance against direct diplomacy and its continued military actions, diminishing prospects for a breakthrough. Upcoming intensive Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington on May 14-15 focus on ceasefire solidification and potential Hezbollah disarmament, but persistent escalations like recent UAV attacks signal high uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$28,935結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel and Hezbollah have held no direct diplomatic meetings, with Hezbollah leaders repeatedly rejecting negotiations with Israel amid ongoing border hostilities. Instead, US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon—excluding Hezbollah—resumed in April 2026, yielding a 10-day cessation of hostilities extended by three weeks, though both sides report violations including Israeli strikes killing Hezbollah commanders and Hezbollah rocket attacks into northern Israel. Trader consensus reflects Hezbollah's firm stance against direct diplomacy and its continued military actions, diminishing prospects for a breakthrough. Upcoming intensive Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington on May 14-15 focus on ceasefire solidification and potential Hezbollah disarmament, but persistent escalations like recent UAV attacks signal high uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions