**Ongoing clashes and Hezbollah's repeated rejections of US-brokered frameworks between Israel and the Lebanese government continue to shape limited prospects for direct diplomatic engagement.** Since April 2026, Israel and Lebanese officials have held multiple rounds of talks in Washington focused on ceasefires, security arrangements south of the Litani River, and Hezbollah disarmament, producing short-lived truces that were later extended. Hezbollah, however, has not participated directly and has rejected these proposals, demanding full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon alongside a comprehensive halt to all operations. Fresh exchanges of strikes persisted into mid-June, including Israeli actions in Beirut suburbs and Hezbollah rocket and drone attacks. Any direct Israel-Hezbollah meeting would require shifts in these core positions amid ongoing border tensions and parallel US-Iran diplomacy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$114,632 交易量
2026-06-30
June 30
2%
$114,632 交易量
June 30
$80,917 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing clashes and Hezbollah's repeated rejections of US-brokered frameworks between Israel and the Lebanese government continue to shape limited prospects for direct diplomatic engagement.** Since April 2026, Israel and Lebanese officials have held multiple rounds of talks in Washington focused on ceasefires, security arrangements south of the Litani River, and Hezbollah disarmament, producing short-lived truces that were later extended. Hezbollah, however, has not participated directly and has rejected these proposals, demanding full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon alongside a comprehensive halt to all operations. Fresh exchanges of strikes persisted into mid-June, including Israeli actions in Beirut suburbs and Hezbollah rocket and drone attacks. Any direct Israel-Hezbollah meeting would require shifts in these core positions amid ongoing border tensions and parallel US-Iran diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 28, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$114,632結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing clashes and Hezbollah's repeated rejections of US-brokered frameworks between Israel and the Lebanese government continue to shape limited prospects for direct diplomatic engagement.** Since April 2026, Israel and Lebanese officials have held multiple rounds of talks in Washington focused on ceasefires, security arrangements south of the Litani River, and Hezbollah disarmament, producing short-lived truces that were later extended. Hezbollah, however, has not participated directly and has rejected these proposals, demanding full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon alongside a comprehensive halt to all operations. Fresh exchanges of strikes persisted into mid-June, including Israeli actions in Beirut suburbs and Hezbollah rocket and drone attacks. Any direct Israel-Hezbollah meeting would require shifts in these core positions amid ongoing border tensions and parallel US-Iran diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$114,632結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing clashes and Hezbollah's repeated rejections of US-brokered frameworks between Israel and the Lebanese government continue to shape limited prospects for direct diplomatic engagement.** Since April 2026, Israel and Lebanese officials have held multiple rounds of talks in Washington focused on ceasefires, security arrangements south of the Litani River, and Hezbollah disarmament, producing short-lived truces that were later extended. Hezbollah, however, has not participated directly and has rejected these proposals, demanding full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon alongside a comprehensive halt to all operations. Fresh exchanges of strikes persisted into mid-June, including Israeli actions in Beirut suburbs and Hezbollah rocket and drone attacks. Any direct Israel-Hezbollah meeting would require shifts in these core positions amid ongoing border tensions and parallel US-Iran diplomacy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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