The 2028 presidential cycle is entering its early positioning phase ahead of the November 2028 election, with potential candidates from both parties conducting exploratory travel to early primary states such as Iowa, delivering high-profile speeches, and issuing measured statements about future intentions. As of May 2026, no major-party figures have launched formal campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where most announcements cluster in late 2026 or early 2027 after the midterms. Key actors including Vice President JD Vance, Senator Marco Rubio, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Governor Gavin Newsom are actively shaping narratives through public appearances and policy-focused events, while lesser-known or long-shot contenders have begun limited Federal Election Commission filings. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over which individuals will accelerate timelines to build early momentum before the 2027 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$645,050 交易量

賀錦麗
21%

Rahm Emanuel
21%

Pete Buttigieg
19%

史蒂夫·班農
19%

馬克·凱利
17%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯
17%

格雷琴·惠特默
12%

安迪·比希爾
16%

加文·紐森
15%

塔克·卡爾森
15%

布萊恩·坎普
14%

J.B. Pritzker
14%

蘭德·保羅
14%

貝托·奧羅克
13%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯
13%

馬特·蓋茨
13%

Greg Abbott
13%

拉斐爾·沃諾克
13%

泰德·克魯茲
13%

約翰·費特曼
12%

喬什·霍利
12%

莉茲·切尼
12%

吉娜·雷蒙多
11%

馬可·魯比歐
11%

賈里德·波利斯
11%

歐普拉·溫芙蕾
11%

安德魯·楊
11%

J.D. Vance
11%

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Candace Owens
10%

史蒂芬·A·史密斯
10%

喬恩·奧索夫
10%

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林
10%

拜倫·唐納茲
10%

Josh Shapiro
10%

唐納·川普二世
9%

湯姆·布雷迪
9%

馬克·庫班
9%

巨石強森
9%

蒂姆·沃爾茲
9%

喬治·克魯尼
9%

韋斯·摩爾
8%

約翰·圖恩
8%

克莉絲蒂·諾姆
8%

格倫·楊金
8%

唐·萊蒙
8%

唐納·川普
7%

圖爾西·加巴德
10%

羅伊·庫珀
7%

金·卡戴珊
7%

伊萬卡·川普
7%

凱蒂·布里特
7%

Cory Booker
7%

Erika Kirk
6%

杭特·拜登
6%

伯尼·桑德斯
6%

伊隆·馬斯克
6%

米歇爾·歐巴馬
5%

Zohran Mamdani
5%

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克
5%

巴拉克·歐巴馬
4%

妮基·黑利
4%

希拉蕊·柯林頓
4%

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪(小)
3%

喬恩·斯圖爾特
3%

邁克·彭斯
3%

切爾西·克林頓
3%

菲爾·墨菲
2%

勒布朗·詹姆斯
2%

MrBeast
2%
$645,050 交易量

賀錦麗
21%

Rahm Emanuel
21%

Pete Buttigieg
19%

史蒂夫·班農
19%

馬克·凱利
17%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯
17%

格雷琴·惠特默
12%

安迪·比希爾
16%

加文·紐森
15%

塔克·卡爾森
15%

布萊恩·坎普
14%

J.B. Pritzker
14%

蘭德·保羅
14%

貝托·奧羅克
13%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯
13%

馬特·蓋茨
13%

Greg Abbott
13%

拉斐爾·沃諾克
13%

泰德·克魯茲
13%

約翰·費特曼
12%

喬什·霍利
12%

莉茲·切尼
12%

吉娜·雷蒙多
11%

馬可·魯比歐
11%

賈里德·波利斯
11%

歐普拉·溫芙蕾
11%

安德魯·楊
11%

J.D. Vance
11%

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Candace Owens
10%

史蒂芬·A·史密斯
10%

喬恩·奧索夫
10%

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林
10%

拜倫·唐納茲
10%

Josh Shapiro
10%

唐納·川普二世
9%

湯姆·布雷迪
9%

馬克·庫班
9%

巨石強森
9%

蒂姆·沃爾茲
9%

喬治·克魯尼
9%

韋斯·摩爾
8%

約翰·圖恩
8%

克莉絲蒂·諾姆
8%

格倫·楊金
8%

唐·萊蒙
8%

唐納·川普
7%

圖爾西·加巴德
10%

羅伊·庫珀
7%

金·卡戴珊
7%

伊萬卡·川普
7%

凱蒂·布里特
7%

Cory Booker
7%

Erika Kirk
6%

杭特·拜登
6%

伯尼·桑德斯
6%

伊隆·馬斯克
6%

米歇爾·歐巴馬
5%

Zohran Mamdani
5%

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克
5%

巴拉克·歐巴馬
4%

妮基·黑利
4%

希拉蕊·柯林頓
4%

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪(小)
3%

喬恩·斯圖爾特
3%

邁克·彭斯
3%

切爾西·克林頓
3%

菲爾·墨菲
2%

勒布朗·詹姆斯
2%

MrBeast
2%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2028 presidential cycle is entering its early positioning phase ahead of the November 2028 election, with potential candidates from both parties conducting exploratory travel to early primary states such as Iowa, delivering high-profile speeches, and issuing measured statements about future intentions. As of May 2026, no major-party figures have launched formal campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where most announcements cluster in late 2026 or early 2027 after the midterms. Key actors including Vice President JD Vance, Senator Marco Rubio, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Governor Gavin Newsom are actively shaping narratives through public appearances and policy-focused events, while lesser-known or long-shot contenders have begun limited Federal Election Commission filings. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over which individuals will accelerate timelines to build early momentum before the 2027 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions