Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and leadership consolidation have intensified ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027, with traders focusing on potential targets in the military and senior party ranks. Early 2026 saw high-profile investigations into Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, part of a wave that has removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and reduced the CMC to Xi and one remaining general. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case involving Ma Xingrui, underscore the pattern. Cadre assessments and loyalty campaigns scheduled through summer 2026 are expected to shape nominations, favoring figures perceived as aligned while exposing others to risk. Market pricing on names like Dong Jun and Zhang Shengmin reflects this environment of heightened scrutiny and institutional turnover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$199,176 交易量
2026-12-31
董軍
12%
張升民
6%
蔡奇
6%
趙樂際
5%
王滬寧
4%
丁薛祥
4%
李希
3%
王毅
2%
李強
2%
$199,176 交易量
董軍
$37,884 交易量
12%
張升民
$28,278 交易量
6%
蔡奇
$43,328 交易量
6%
趙樂際
$10,974 交易量
5%
王滬寧
$11,823 交易量
4%
丁薛祥
$16,094 交易量
4%
李希
$28,277 交易量
3%
王毅
$15,668 交易量
2%
李強
$6,851 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and leadership consolidation have intensified ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027, with traders focusing on potential targets in the military and senior party ranks. Early 2026 saw high-profile investigations into Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, part of a wave that has removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and reduced the CMC to Xi and one remaining general. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case involving Ma Xingrui, underscore the pattern. Cadre assessments and loyalty campaigns scheduled through summer 2026 are expected to shape nominations, favoring figures perceived as aligned while exposing others to risk. Market pricing on names like Dong Jun and Zhang Shengmin reflects this environment of heightened scrutiny and institutional turnover.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$199,176結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and leadership consolidation have intensified ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027, with traders focusing on potential targets in the military and senior party ranks. Early 2026 saw high-profile investigations into Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, part of a wave that has removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and reduced the CMC to Xi and one remaining general. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case involving Ma Xingrui, underscore the pattern. Cadre assessments and loyalty campaigns scheduled through summer 2026 are expected to shape nominations, favoring figures perceived as aligned while exposing others to risk. Market pricing on names like Dong Jun and Zhang Shengmin reflects this environment of heightened scrutiny and institutional turnover.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$199,176結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and leadership consolidation have intensified ahead of the 21st Party Congress in 2027, with traders focusing on potential targets in the military and senior party ranks. Early 2026 saw high-profile investigations into Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, part of a wave that has removed over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022 and reduced the CMC to Xi and one remaining general. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case involving Ma Xingrui, underscore the pattern. Cadre assessments and loyalty campaigns scheduled through summer 2026 are expected to shape nominations, favoring figures perceived as aligned while exposing others to risk. Market pricing on names like Dong Jun and Zhang Shengmin reflects this environment of heightened scrutiny and institutional turnover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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