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icon for 張有霞在2027年之前被判刑?

張有霞在2027年之前被判刑?

icon for 張有霞在2027年之前被判刑?

張有霞在2027年之前被判刑?

10% 機率
Polymarket

$157,067 交易量

10% 機率
Polymarket

$157,067 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under formal investigation in late January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption and disloyalty allegations, as part of Xi Jinping’s ongoing military leadership purge. No trial date, formal charges, or sentencing has been publicly confirmed through August 2026. In the Chinese system, such high-level cases typically proceed through extended internal party and disciplinary processes before any judicial outcome, and officials of Zhang’s age and stature have historically faced expulsion, house arrest, or suspended penalties rather than immediate public prison sentences. The remaining window until the end of 2026 offers limited time for resolution, supporting trader consensus that a custodial sentence is unlikely before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$157,067
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under formal investigation in late January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption and disloyalty allegations, as part of Xi Jinping’s ongoing military leadership purge. No trial date, formal charges, or sentencing has been publicly confirmed through August 2026. In the Chinese system, such high-level cases typically proceed through extended internal party and disciplinary processes before any judicial outcome, and officials of Zhang’s age and stature have historically faced expulsion, house arrest, or suspended penalties rather than immediate public prison sentences. The remaining window until the end of 2026 offers limited time for resolution, supporting trader consensus that a custodial sentence is unlikely before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$157,067
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"張有霞在2027年之前被判刑?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "張又俠會在2027年前被判入獄嗎?" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "張有霞在2027年之前被判刑?" has generated $157.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "張有霞在2027年之前被判刑?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "張有霞在2027年之前被判刑?" is "張又俠會在2027年前被判入獄嗎?" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "張有霞在2027年之前被判刑?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.