Recent monthly CPI prints have shown China’s consumer inflation easing to a six-month low of 0.5% in July 2026, down from 1.0% in June, amid persistent weak domestic demand, falling food prices including pork, and softer non-food and transport costs. These outcomes have reinforced trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% annual range for the full year, as subdued household spending and ample supply continue to limit price pressures despite some producer-price gains from commodities. Forecasts from institutions such as the Asian Development Bank project similar subdued levels near 1.2%, with limited near-term catalysts expected to push the annual figure substantially higher or into deflationary territory before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.6 – 1.0% 44%
0.1 – 0.5% 19.1%
1.1 – 1.5% 19%
1.6 – 2.0% 5.9%
$72,293 交易量
$72,293 交易量
低於-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
44%
1.1 – 1.5%
19%
1.6 – 2.0%
6%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%以上
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 44%
0.1 – 0.5% 19.1%
1.1 – 1.5% 19%
1.6 – 2.0% 5.9%
$72,293 交易量
$72,293 交易量
低於-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
44%
1.1 – 1.5%
19%
1.6 – 2.0%
6%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%以上
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
市場開放時間: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI prints have shown China’s consumer inflation easing to a six-month low of 0.5% in July 2026, down from 1.0% in June, amid persistent weak domestic demand, falling food prices including pork, and softer non-food and transport costs. These outcomes have reinforced trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% annual range for the full year, as subdued household spending and ample supply continue to limit price pressures despite some producer-price gains from commodities. Forecasts from institutions such as the Asian Development Bank project similar subdued levels near 1.2%, with limited near-term catalysts expected to push the annual figure substantially higher or into deflationary territory before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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