Recent July inflation printed at 2.1% month-on-month, above consensus and driven by seasonal winter factors, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%. This followed June’s 1.9% reading and sustained the disinflation path under President Milei’s fiscal consolidation and exchange-rate framework. Analyst forecasts from BBVA Research and central bank surveys now center August monthly inflation near 1.8%, reflecting expectations of normalization absent further shocks. Trader positioning on Polymarket, with the 1.8-2.0% bin at 56% implied probability, aggregates this consensus while pricing residual risks from seasonal adjustments and policy transmission. Year-end projections remain anchored around 29-30%, consistent with the observed trajectory in monthly rates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿根廷每月通脹- 8月
1.8-2.0% 56.0%
1.5-1.7% 31.8%
2.1-2.3% 11.0%
1.2-1.4% <1%
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
32%
1.8-2.0%
56%
2.1-2.3%
11%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 56.0%
1.5-1.7% 31.8%
2.1-2.3% 11.0%
1.2-1.4% <1%
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
32%
1.8-2.0%
56%
2.1-2.3%
11%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July inflation printed at 2.1% month-on-month, above consensus and driven by seasonal winter factors, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%. This followed June’s 1.9% reading and sustained the disinflation path under President Milei’s fiscal consolidation and exchange-rate framework. Analyst forecasts from BBVA Research and central bank surveys now center August monthly inflation near 1.8%, reflecting expectations of normalization absent further shocks. Trader positioning on Polymarket, with the 1.8-2.0% bin at 56% implied probability, aggregates this consensus while pricing residual risks from seasonal adjustments and policy transmission. Year-end projections remain anchored around 29-30%, consistent with the observed trajectory in monthly rates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions