Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and associated oil price volatility remain the dominant driver of South African inflation pricing, pushing fuel and transport costs higher and lifting the June 2026 annual CPI rate to 5.0 percent before a moderation to 4.3 percent in July. The South African Reserve Bank’s July decision to hold the repo rate at 7 percent, coupled with resilient rand trading near 16.25 to the dollar, has tempered imported price pressures, while subdued food inflation has provided an offset. Market-implied odds cluster around 4.7–5.0 percent or above, reflecting uncertainty over whether August CPI (due September 23) and the next MPC meeting will confirm a sustained decline toward the 3 percent target or reveal second-round effects from elevated energy costs. Trader positioning also incorporates base-rate considerations from prior years’ 3–4 percent prints and the risk that prolonged supply shocks could keep the 2026 average above 4.5 percent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於>5.0% 34.0%
4.7-5.0% 20.8%
4.4-4.7% 16.5%
2.9-3.2% 4.9%
$58,461 交易量
$58,461 交易量
2027-01-19
低於2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
1%
2.9-3.2%
5%
3.2-3.5%
2%
3.5-3.8%
4%
3.8-4.1%
4%
4.1-4.4%
<1%
4.4-4.7%
17%
4.7-5.0%
21%
>5.0%
34%
>5.0% 34.0%
4.7-5.0% 20.8%
4.4-4.7% 16.5%
2.9-3.2% 4.9%
$58,461 交易量
$58,461 交易量
2027-01-19
低於2.6%
$1,479 交易量
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$2,124 交易量
1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,823 交易量
5%
3.2-3.5%
$1,854 交易量
2%
3.5-3.8%
$2,057 交易量
4%
3.8-4.1%
$3,712 交易量
4%
4.1-4.4%
$3,809 交易量
<1%
4.4-4.7%
$20,239 交易量
17%
4.7-5.0%
$7,939 交易量
21%
>5.0%
$13,425 交易量
34%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and associated oil price volatility remain the dominant driver of South African inflation pricing, pushing fuel and transport costs higher and lifting the June 2026 annual CPI rate to 5.0 percent before a moderation to 4.3 percent in July. The South African Reserve Bank’s July decision to hold the repo rate at 7 percent, coupled with resilient rand trading near 16.25 to the dollar, has tempered imported price pressures, while subdued food inflation has provided an offset. Market-implied odds cluster around 4.7–5.0 percent or above, reflecting uncertainty over whether August CPI (due September 23) and the next MPC meeting will confirm a sustained decline toward the 3 percent target or reveal second-round effects from elevated energy costs. Trader positioning also incorporates base-rate considerations from prior years’ 3–4 percent prints and the risk that prolonged supply shocks could keep the 2026 average above 4.5 percent.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
市場開放時間： Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$58,461結束日期
2027-01-20市場開放時間
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and associated oil price volatility remain the dominant driver of South African inflation pricing, pushing fuel and transport costs higher and lifting the June 2026 annual CPI rate to 5.0 percent before a moderation to 4.3 percent in July. The South African Reserve Bank’s July decision to hold the repo rate at 7 percent, coupled with resilient rand trading near 16.25 to the dollar, has tempered imported price pressures, while subdued food inflation has provided an offset. Market-implied odds cluster around 4.7–5.0 percent or above, reflecting uncertainty over whether August CPI (due September 23) and the next MPC meeting will confirm a sustained decline toward the 3 percent target or reveal second-round effects from elevated energy costs. Trader positioning also incorporates base-rate considerations from prior years’ 3–4 percent prints and the risk that prolonged supply shocks could keep the 2026 average above 4.5 percent.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
交易量
$58,461結束日期
2027-01-20市場開放時間
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and associated oil price volatility remain the dominant driver of South African inflation pricing, pushing fuel and transport costs higher and lifting the June 2026 annual CPI rate to 5.0 percent before a moderation to 4.3 percent in July. The South African Reserve Bank’s July decision to hold the repo rate at 7 percent, coupled with resilient rand trading near 16.25 to the dollar, has tempered imported price pressures, while subdued food inflation has provided an offset. Market-implied odds cluster around 4.7–5.0 percent or above, reflecting uncertainty over whether August CPI (due September 23) and the next MPC meeting will confirm a sustained decline toward the 3 percent target or reveal second-round effects from elevated energy costs. Trader positioning also incorporates base-rate considerations from prior years’ 3–4 percent prints and the risk that prolonged supply shocks could keep the 2026 average above 4.5 percent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions