Recent Japan core CPI readings, including Tokyo's 1.9% YoY print for July 2026 and the national rate near 1.6-1.7%, have kept underlying inflation below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months amid energy subsidies and base effects. The BoJ's July 2026 Outlook lowered its FY2026 core inflation projection to 2.5% from 2.8%, reflecting tempered price pressures despite a June rate hike to 1.0% and ongoing wage pass-through. These developments, alongside stable labor market conditions and moderated energy cost impacts, anchor trader sentiment toward the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets as the most probable 2026 outcomes, with limited scope for acceleration absent stronger external shocks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 35%
3.0-3.4% 4.5%
2.5-2.9% 1.0%
$35,233 交易量
$35,233 交易量
≤1.9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
35%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
5%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 35%
3.0-3.4% 4.5%
2.5-2.9% 1.0%
$35,233 交易量
$35,233 交易量
≤1.9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
35%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
5%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市場開放時間: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan core CPI readings, including Tokyo's 1.9% YoY print for July 2026 and the national rate near 1.6-1.7%, have kept underlying inflation below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months amid energy subsidies and base effects. The BoJ's July 2026 Outlook lowered its FY2026 core inflation projection to 2.5% from 2.8%, reflecting tempered price pressures despite a June rate hike to 1.0% and ongoing wage pass-through. These developments, alongside stable labor market conditions and moderated energy cost impacts, anchor trader sentiment toward the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets as the most probable 2026 outcomes, with limited scope for acceleration absent stronger external shocks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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