Recent April 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI YoY easing to 1.9 percent, the softest reading in nearly two years, amid government subsidies and fading prior food-price effects, yet Bank of Japan gauges stripping institutional factors registered 2.8 percent, underscoring persistent underlying pressures. Traders weigh wage-pass-through momentum and elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East supply risks against softening growth forecasts and the BoJ’s upwardly revised fiscal-2026 inflation projections. These crosscurrents, together with yen volatility and upcoming summer wage-settlement data, sustain balanced probabilities across the 2.0–2.9 percent bands while leaving room for higher or lower realizations depending on energy-price persistence and demand resilience.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於≤1.9% 98%
4.0%以上 50%
2.5-2.9% 49%
2.0-2.4% 49%
≤1.9%
98%
2.0-2.4%
49%
2.5-2.9%
49%
3.0-3.4%
49%
3.5-3.9%
49%
4.0%以上
50%
≤1.9% 98%
4.0%以上 50%
2.5-2.9% 49%
2.0-2.4% 49%
≤1.9%
98%
2.0-2.4%
49%
2.5-2.9%
49%
3.0-3.4%
49%
3.5-3.9%
49%
4.0%以上
50%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市場開放時間: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI YoY easing to 1.9 percent, the softest reading in nearly two years, amid government subsidies and fading prior food-price effects, yet Bank of Japan gauges stripping institutional factors registered 2.8 percent, underscoring persistent underlying pressures. Traders weigh wage-pass-through momentum and elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East supply risks against softening growth forecasts and the BoJ’s upwardly revised fiscal-2026 inflation projections. These crosscurrents, together with yen volatility and upcoming summer wage-settlement data, sustain balanced probabilities across the 2.0–2.9 percent bands while leaving room for higher or lower realizations depending on energy-price persistence and demand resilience.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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