Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at multi-decade lows with beef cow numbers below 28 million, remain the dominant driver of ground beef prices, supporting USDA forecasts for another 9-10%+ rise in 2026 amid robust consumer demand. Lean processing beef supplies have tightened further as non-fed slaughter declines, pushing retail ground beef averages to $6.70-$6.75 per pound through mid-year—up 13-16% year-over-year—while imports of lean trim have risen over 13% to fill the gap. High feed costs, drought impacts on pasture, and strong protein demand continue to underpin elevated live cattle prices near $251 per cwt for slaughter steers. Key upcoming catalysts include fall harvest conditions affecting feed grain markets, monthly USDA livestock reports, and any shifts in import policies or consumer spending data that could influence price trajectories through year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,430 交易量
7.000美元以上
50%
8美元以上
45%
9.000美元以上
16%
10.000美元以上
12%
$21,430 交易量
7.000美元以上
50%
8美元以上
45%
9.000美元以上
16%
10.000美元以上
12%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at multi-decade lows with beef cow numbers below 28 million, remain the dominant driver of ground beef prices, supporting USDA forecasts for another 9-10%+ rise in 2026 amid robust consumer demand. Lean processing beef supplies have tightened further as non-fed slaughter declines, pushing retail ground beef averages to $6.70-$6.75 per pound through mid-year—up 13-16% year-over-year—while imports of lean trim have risen over 13% to fill the gap. High feed costs, drought impacts on pasture, and strong protein demand continue to underpin elevated live cattle prices near $251 per cwt for slaughter steers. Key upcoming catalysts include fall harvest conditions affecting feed grain markets, monthly USDA livestock reports, and any shifts in import policies or consumer spending data that could influence price trajectories through year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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