Elevated crude oil prices near $95–100 per barrel, driven by Middle East supply disruptions and Strait of Hormuz volatility, remain the dominant factor lifting U.S. retail gasoline averages to $4.44–$4.48 per gallon as of mid-September 2026. Refining capacity constraints, both domestic and global, have widened crack spreads and tightened inventories, preventing meaningful declines despite recent crude fluctuations. The lowest state averages hover around $3.92–$3.95 in places like Indiana and Texas, well above the $3.75 threshold. Seasonal demand patterns and limited near-term relief from geopolitical tensions suggest persistence in current levels absent major supply improvements or policy shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-09-20
9月20日
4%
9月30日
37%
10月31日
26%
$810 交易量
9月20日
$488 交易量
4%
9月30日
$81 交易量
37%
10月31日
$241 交易量
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Elevated crude oil prices near $95–100 per barrel, driven by Middle East supply disruptions and Strait of Hormuz volatility, remain the dominant factor lifting U.S. retail gasoline averages to $4.44–$4.48 per gallon as of mid-September 2026. Refining capacity constraints, both domestic and global, have widened crack spreads and tightened inventories, preventing meaningful declines despite recent crude fluctuations. The lowest state averages hover around $3.92–$3.95 in places like Indiana and Texas, well above the $3.75 threshold. Seasonal demand patterns and limited near-term relief from geopolitical tensions suggest persistence in current levels absent major supply improvements or policy shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
交易量
$810結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Elevated crude oil prices near $95–100 per barrel, driven by Middle East supply disruptions and Strait of Hormuz volatility, remain the dominant factor lifting U.S. retail gasoline averages to $4.44–$4.48 per gallon as of mid-September 2026. Refining capacity constraints, both domestic and global, have widened crack spreads and tightened inventories, preventing meaningful declines despite recent crude fluctuations. The lowest state averages hover around $3.92–$3.95 in places like Indiana and Texas, well above the $3.75 threshold. Seasonal demand patterns and limited near-term relief from geopolitical tensions suggest persistence in current levels absent major supply improvements or policy shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
交易量
$810結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETElevated crude oil prices near $95–100 per barrel, driven by Middle East supply disruptions and Strait of Hormuz volatility, remain the dominant factor lifting U.S. retail gasoline averages to $4.44–$4.48 per gallon as of mid-September 2026. Refining capacity constraints, both domestic and global, have widened crack spreads and tightened inventories, preventing meaningful declines despite recent crude fluctuations. The lowest state averages hover around $3.92–$3.95 in places like Indiana and Texas, well above the $3.75 threshold. Seasonal demand patterns and limited near-term relief from geopolitical tensions suggest persistence in current levels absent major supply improvements or policy shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions