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icon for 天然氣會在9月底前__降臨嗎？
金融·AAA

天然氣會在9月底前__降臨嗎？

icon for 天然氣會在9月底前__降臨嗎？
金融·AAA

天然氣會在9月底前__降臨嗎？

8月 31

9月 30

8月 31

9月 30

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

Polymarket

↑ $4.50

$0 交易量

42%

↑ $4.40

$0 交易量

37%

↑ $4.30

$0 交易量

44%

↑ $4.20

$0 交易量

53%

↓ $4.00

$0 交易量

55%

↓ $3.90

$0 交易量

47%

↓ $3.70

$0 交易量

39%

↓ $3.50

$0 交易量

34%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent U.S. natural gas supply dynamics dominate trader positioning for September resolution, with Henry Hub spot and futures prices holding near $2.88/MMBtu amid record Lower 48 output above 111 Bcf/d and storage inventories projected to reach their highest end-October level since 2016. The EIA’s August STEO cut its Q3 2026 average forecast to $2.87/MMBtu, citing softer LNG feedgas demand and ample production that leaves contracts through September below $3.00. Elevated five-year-average storage, combined with seasonal shoulder-period cooling in demand, reinforces the market-implied odds of limited upside before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next EIA storage report and any shifts in LNG export nominations or weather-driven power-sector burn.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent U.S. natural gas supply dynamics dominate trader positioning for September resolution, with Henry Hub spot and futures prices holding near $2.88/MMBtu amid record Lower 48 output above 111 Bcf/d and storage inventories projected to reach their highest end-October level since 2016. The EIA’s August STEO cut its Q3 2026 average forecast to $2.87/MMBtu, citing softer LNG feedgas demand and ample production that leaves contracts through September below $3.00. Elevated five-year-average storage, combined with seasonal shoulder-period cooling in demand, reinforces the market-implied odds of limited upside before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next EIA storage report and any shifts in LNG export nominations or weather-driven power-sector burn.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"天然氣會在9月底前__降臨嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $4.00" at 55%, followed by "↑ $4.20" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"天然氣會在9月底前__降臨嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "天然氣會在9月底前__降臨嗎？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "天然氣會在9月底前__降臨嗎？" is "↓ $4.00" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $4.20" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "天然氣會在9月底前__降臨嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.