Russian forces continue limited offensive operations in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, conducting small-group infiltrations supported by Gerbera and Molniya drones, as reported in ISW assessments through May 13, 2026, but have made only marginal gains averaging 2.63 square kilometers per day since January amid Ukrainian counterattacks and strikes on Russian drone control points and troop concentrations near frontline villages like Myrne and Rivne. Pokrovskoe in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast remains under Ukrainian control, over 100 kilometers west of current frontlines, with no reported Russian advances in that sector. A brief May 9-11 ceasefire yielded no de-escalation, while Kremlin demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas highlight stalled territorial ambitions, underscoring slow escalation risks for deeper penetrations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$79,650 交易量
5月31日
1%
$79,650 交易量
5月31日
1%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Apr 22, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue limited offensive operations in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, conducting small-group infiltrations supported by Gerbera and Molniya drones, as reported in ISW assessments through May 13, 2026, but have made only marginal gains averaging 2.63 square kilometers per day since January amid Ukrainian counterattacks and strikes on Russian drone control points and troop concentrations near frontline villages like Myrne and Rivne. Pokrovskoe in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast remains under Ukrainian control, over 100 kilometers west of current frontlines, with no reported Russian advances in that sector. A brief May 9-11 ceasefire yielded no de-escalation, while Kremlin demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas highlight stalled territorial ambitions, underscoring slow escalation risks for deeper penetrations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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