Russian forces have intensified efforts to advance on Orikhiv in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with Ukrainian military reports confirming a Russian command directive in mid-October 2026 to seize the town along with nearby settlements by month's end. Infiltration attempts using small groups have continued, yet Ukrainian units have repelled them without allowing a sustained foothold, as evidenced by ongoing Russian glide bomb strikes into early November. Russian claims of partial control have been disputed by Ukrainian sources, while assessments from the Institute for the Study of War note exaggerated Russian reporting on flanking advances near Hulyaipole. Ukrainian counter-pressure has shifted momentum in contested areas around Novodanylivka and Mala Tokmachka. These frontline dynamics, heavy Russian losses, and limited reserves shape trader views on capture timelines amid persistent artillery and drone activity.