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icon for 機械衛兵會在9月前變更名冊嗎?

機械衛兵會在9月前變更名冊嗎?

icon for 機械衛兵會在9月前變更名冊嗎?

機械衛兵會在9月前變更名冊嗎?

42% 機率
Polymarket

$1,601 交易量

42% 機率
Polymarket

$1,601 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Sentinels' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on Sentinels' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: JohnQT, Reduxx, Jerrwin, Cortezia, JonahP. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by Sentinels or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sentinels' Valorant roster has shown relative stability since mid-2026 adjustments, supporting the 79% implied probability that no further changes occur before September.** The team entered 2026 with a post-2025 rebuild centered on IGL johnqt, incorporating players such as N4RRATE, Kyu, cortezia, and reduxx from Cubert Academy, plus coach kaplan. Underwhelming early results prompted February/March shifts: kaplan departed amid roster conflicts, N4RRATE and Kyu exited, Ewok joined as head coach, and JonahP plus Jerrwin were added to form the active lineup of johnqt, cortezia, reduxx, JonahP, and Jerrwin. Contracts for the core extended through 2028 in prior announcements, limiting short-term flexibility. The group posted consistently poor VCT Americas results, including an 11th-12th place finish and early Stage 2 exit on August 23, 2026, with no international qualification. CEO Rob Moore publicly acknowledged the season's shortcomings and roster-management missteps but framed the response as long-term commitment rather than immediate upheaval. No verified reports, trials, or official statements since the August exit indicate pending moves, and the absence of late-summer roster news aligns with trader consensus favoring continuity through the off-season transition. Poor recent form and historical mid-season volatility exist, yet locked contracts and lack of fresh developments outweigh signals for near-term change.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Sentinels' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on Sentinels' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: JohnQT, Reduxx, Jerrwin, Cortezia, JonahP. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count.

A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by Sentinels or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed.

A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Sentinels' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on Sentinels' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: JohnQT, Reduxx, Jerrwin, Cortezia, JonahP. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by Sentinels or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,601
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Sentinels' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on Sentinels' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: JohnQT, Reduxx, Jerrwin, Cortezia, JonahP. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by Sentinels or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sentinels' Valorant roster has shown relative stability since mid-2026 adjustments, supporting the 79% implied probability that no further changes occur before September.** The team entered 2026 with a post-2025 rebuild centered on IGL johnqt, incorporating players such as N4RRATE, Kyu, cortezia, and reduxx from Cubert Academy, plus coach kaplan. Underwhelming early results prompted February/March shifts: kaplan departed amid roster conflicts, N4RRATE and Kyu exited, Ewok joined as head coach, and JonahP plus Jerrwin were added to form the active lineup of johnqt, cortezia, reduxx, JonahP, and Jerrwin. Contracts for the core extended through 2028 in prior announcements, limiting short-term flexibility. The group posted consistently poor VCT Americas results, including an 11th-12th place finish and early Stage 2 exit on August 23, 2026, with no international qualification. CEO Rob Moore publicly acknowledged the season's shortcomings and roster-management missteps but framed the response as long-term commitment rather than immediate upheaval. No verified reports, trials, or official statements since the August exit indicate pending moves, and the absence of late-summer roster news aligns with trader consensus favoring continuity through the off-season transition. Poor recent form and historical mid-season volatility exist, yet locked contracts and lack of fresh developments outweigh signals for near-term change.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Sentinels' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on Sentinels' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: JohnQT, Reduxx, Jerrwin, Cortezia, JonahP. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count.

A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by Sentinels or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed.

A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Sentinels' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on Sentinels' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: JohnQT, Reduxx, Jerrwin, Cortezia, JonahP. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by Sentinels or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Sentinels), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,601
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"機械衛兵會在9月前變更名冊嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"機械衛兵會在9月前變更名冊嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "機械衛兵會在9月前變更名冊嗎?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "機械衛兵會在9月前變更名冊嗎?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "機械衛兵會在9月前變更名冊嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.