Recent developments center on the July 2026 joint bid by Stripe and Advent International for PayPal at $60.50 per share, valuing the target above $53 billion with $50 billion in committed financing. PayPal's board rejected the proposal weeks later while seeking a higher price, leaving no active negotiations confirmed as of mid-August. This stalled process, combined with the short runway to year-end, regulatory scrutiny for a deal of this scale, and integration challenges between Stripe's merchant-focused platform and PayPal's consumer base, underpins the 65.3% market-implied probability against a 2026 close. Traders are pricing in the likelihood that any revised talks would extend beyond December, absent major catalysts like renewed offers or earnings-driven shifts in valuations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
33% 機率
$80,592 交易量
$80,592 交易量
2026-12-31
是
33% 機率
$80,592 交易量
$80,592 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on the July 2026 joint bid by Stripe and Advent International for PayPal at $60.50 per share, valuing the target above $53 billion with $50 billion in committed financing. PayPal's board rejected the proposal weeks later while seeking a higher price, leaving no active negotiations confirmed as of mid-August. This stalled process, combined with the short runway to year-end, regulatory scrutiny for a deal of this scale, and integration challenges between Stripe's merchant-focused platform and PayPal's consumer base, underpins the 65.3% market-implied probability against a 2026 close. Traders are pricing in the likelihood that any revised talks would extend beyond December, absent major catalysts like renewed offers or earnings-driven shifts in valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$80,592結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on the July 2026 joint bid by Stripe and Advent International for PayPal at $60.50 per share, valuing the target above $53 billion with $50 billion in committed financing. PayPal's board rejected the proposal weeks later while seeking a higher price, leaving no active negotiations confirmed as of mid-August. This stalled process, combined with the short runway to year-end, regulatory scrutiny for a deal of this scale, and integration challenges between Stripe's merchant-focused platform and PayPal's consumer base, underpins the 65.3% market-implied probability against a 2026 close. Traders are pricing in the likelihood that any revised talks would extend beyond December, absent major catalysts like renewed offers or earnings-driven shifts in valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$80,592結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments center on the July 2026 joint bid by Stripe and Advent International for PayPal at $60.50 per share, valuing the target above $53 billion with $50 billion in committed financing. PayPal's board rejected the proposal weeks later while seeking a higher price, leaving no active negotiations confirmed as of mid-August. This stalled process, combined with the short runway to year-end, regulatory scrutiny for a deal of this scale, and integration challenges between Stripe's merchant-focused platform and PayPal's consumer base, underpins the 65.3% market-implied probability against a 2026 close. Traders are pricing in the likelihood that any revised talks would extend beyond December, absent major catalysts like renewed offers or earnings-driven shifts in valuations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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