The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup structure—48 teams and 104 total matches—drives the 90.5% implied probability that at least one player records a hat-trick. Group-stage mismatches between top sides and weaker opponents have historically produced high-scoring games, with 54 hat-tricks documented across prior tournaments and only the 2006 edition finishing without any. The doubled match count compared with the 32-team format amplifies opportunities for forwards in strong attacking lineups to exploit defensive gaps, even early in the group phase. Trader consensus prices in this volume and precedent while noting that confirmed injury absences or tactical conservatism could modestly reduce scoring volume without eliminating the baseline likelihood.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-07-20
最新
最新
2026-07-20
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup structure—48 teams and 104 total matches—drives the 90.5% implied probability that at least one player records a hat-trick. Group-stage mismatches between top sides and weaker opponents have historically produced high-scoring games, with 54 hat-tricks documented across prior tournaments and only the 2006 edition finishing without any. The doubled match count compared with the 32-team format amplifies opportunities for forwards in strong attacking lineups to exploit defensive gaps, even early in the group phase. Trader consensus prices in this volume and precedent while noting that confirmed injury absences or tactical conservatism could modestly reduce scoring volume without eliminating the baseline likelihood.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 8, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
交易量
$6,508結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup structure—48 teams and 104 total matches—drives the 90.5% implied probability that at least one player records a hat-trick. Group-stage mismatches between top sides and weaker opponents have historically produced high-scoring games, with 54 hat-tricks documented across prior tournaments and only the 2006 edition finishing without any. The doubled match count compared with the 32-team format amplifies opportunities for forwards in strong attacking lineups to exploit defensive gaps, even early in the group phase. Trader consensus prices in this volume and precedent while noting that confirmed injury absences or tactical conservatism could modestly reduce scoring volume without eliminating the baseline likelihood.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,508結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup structure—48 teams and 104 total matches—drives the 90.5% implied probability that at least one player records a hat-trick. Group-stage mismatches between top sides and weaker opponents have historically produced high-scoring games, with 54 hat-tricks documented across prior tournaments and only the 2006 edition finishing without any. The doubled match count compared with the 32-team format amplifies opportunities for forwards in strong attacking lineups to exploit defensive gaps, even early in the group phase. Trader consensus prices in this volume and precedent while noting that confirmed injury absences or tactical conservatism could modestly reduce scoring volume without eliminating the baseline likelihood.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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