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icon for 世界盃：打破最後記錄的最快進球？
運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

世界盃：打破最後記錄的最快進球？

icon for 世界盃：打破最後記錄的最快進球？
運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

世界盃：打破最後記錄的最快進球？

4% 機率
Polymarket
最新
4% 機率
Polymarket
最新
Note: Current record 90 seconds (Johan Neeskens, Netherlands vs. West Germany, 1974. This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 90 seconds from kick-off in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final does not take place for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The record for the fastest goal in a World Cup final stands at 90 seconds, set by Johan Neeskens via penalty for the Netherlands against West Germany in 1974, and has remained unbroken across all subsequent finals despite decades of matches. Traders assign "No" a 97.9% implied probability because finals feature cautious, high-stakes play with strong defensive organization from both sides, reducing the chance of an early concession or rapid counter. The single-match format further limits opportunities compared to group or knockout stages, and no comparable early strikes have occurred in modern finals. While an early penalty, defensive lapse, or set-piece conversion before the 90-second mark remains theoretically possible in the July 19, 2026, final at MetLife Stadium, such outcomes have proven exceptionally rare in this specific context.

Note: Current record 90 seconds (Johan Neeskens, Netherlands vs. West Germany, 1974.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 90 seconds from kick-off in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final does not take place for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,540
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Note: Current record 90 seconds (Johan Neeskens, Netherlands vs. West Germany, 1974. This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 90 seconds from kick-off in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final does not take place for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Current record 90 seconds (Johan Neeskens, Netherlands vs. West Germany, 1974. This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 90 seconds from kick-off in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final does not take place for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The record for the fastest goal in a World Cup final stands at 90 seconds, set by Johan Neeskens via penalty for the Netherlands against West Germany in 1974, and has remained unbroken across all subsequent finals despite decades of matches. Traders assign "No" a 97.9% implied probability because finals feature cautious, high-stakes play with strong defensive organization from both sides, reducing the chance of an early concession or rapid counter. The single-match format further limits opportunities compared to group or knockout stages, and no comparable early strikes have occurred in modern finals. While an early penalty, defensive lapse, or set-piece conversion before the 90-second mark remains theoretically possible in the July 19, 2026, final at MetLife Stadium, such outcomes have proven exceptionally rare in this specific context.

Note: Current record 90 seconds (Johan Neeskens, Netherlands vs. West Germany, 1974.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 90 seconds from kick-off in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final does not take place for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,540
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Note: Current record 90 seconds (Johan Neeskens, Netherlands vs. West Germany, 1974. This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 90 seconds from kick-off in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final does not take place for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃：打破最後記錄的最快進球？" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"世界盃：打破最後記錄的最快進球？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "世界盃：打破最後記錄的最快進球？," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "世界盃：打破最後記錄的最快進球？" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "世界盃：打破最後記錄的最快進球？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.