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運動·足球

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
運動·足球

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Lamine Yamal 12%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$123,350 交易量

Lamine Yamal 12%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$123,350 交易量

Lamine Yamal

$9,400 交易量

12%

Kylian Mbappé

$20,109 交易量

11%

Michael Olise

$9,118 交易量

11%

Harry Kane

$9,696 交易量

8%

Lionel Messi

$4,096 交易量

7%

Vinícius Jr.

$5,048 交易量

6%

Pedri

$2,065 交易量

6%

Bruno Fernandes

$6,451 交易量

5%

Vitinha

$6,686 交易量

4%

Ousmane Dembélé

$5,042 交易量

4%

Florian Wirtz

$7,208 交易量

4%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$10,932 交易量

3%

Jude Bellingham

$1,748 交易量

3%

Declan Rice

$1,607 交易量

2%

Erling Haaland

$6,434 交易量

2%

Rodri

$3,887 交易量

2%

Rayan Cherki

$3,602 交易量

2%

Bukayo Saka

$2,028 交易量

1%

Neymar

$6,197 交易量

<1%

Gavi

$2,079 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market remains tightly contested early in the group stage, with no player exceeding 12% implied probability as traders price in a wide-open field. Lamine Yamal leads slightly on the back of his Euro 2024 breakout and continued elite dribbling and chance creation for Barcelona, while Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise sit close behind thanks to proven World Cup pedigree and standout club seasons. Harry Kane’s prolific Bundesliga scoring, Lionel Messi’s experience, and supporting options like Vinícius Jr., Pedri, and Bruno Fernandes add further depth. With strong squads from Spain, France, England, and Argentina still in contention and group-stage results just emerging, the wisdom of crowds reflects high uncertainty over who will deliver the decisive knockout contributions that historically decide the award.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$123,350
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market remains tightly contested early in the group stage, with no player exceeding 12% implied probability as traders price in a wide-open field. Lamine Yamal leads slightly on the back of his Euro 2024 breakout and continued elite dribbling and chance creation for Barcelona, while Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise sit close behind thanks to proven World Cup pedigree and standout club seasons. Harry Kane’s prolific Bundesliga scoring, Lionel Messi’s experience, and supporting options like Vinícius Jr., Pedri, and Bruno Fernandes add further depth. With strong squads from Spain, France, England, and Argentina still in contention and group-stage results just emerging, the wisdom of crowds reflects high uncertainty over who will deliver the decisive knockout contributions that historically decide the award.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$123,350
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lamine Yamal" at 12%, followed by "Kylian Mbappé" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" has generated $123.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" is "Lamine Yamal" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kylian Mbappé" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.