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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi 51.9%

Kylian Mbappe 23%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,380,939 交易量

Lionel Messi 51.9%

Kylian Mbappe 23%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,380,939 交易量

Lionel Messi

$1,191,168 交易量

52%

Kylian Mbappe

$1,368,651 交易量

23%

Erling Haaland

$911,185 交易量

7%

Ousmane Dembele

$1,303,169 交易量

7%

Vinicius Junior

$703,083 交易量

5%

Harry Kane

$892,482 交易量

5%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$1,314,275 交易量

1%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$1,019,123 交易量

1%

Deniz Undav

$679,883 交易量

1%

Cody Gakpo

$1,814,517 交易量

1%

Lamine Yamal

$877,960 交易量

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$637,659 交易量

<1%

Kai Havertz

$625,173 交易量

<1%

Michael Olise

$2,131,888 交易量

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$597,311 交易量

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$465,816 交易量

<1%

Folarin Balogun

$416,238 交易量

<1%

Raphinha

$356,226 交易量

<1%

Noah Okafor

$326,408 交易量

<1%

Scott McTominay

$292,882 交易量

<1%

Rodrygo

$262,789 交易量

<1%

Amad Diallo

$675,529 交易量

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$324,299 交易量

<1%

Edin Džeko

$286,543 交易量

<1%

Igor Thiago

$1,627,557 交易量

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$212,871 交易量

<1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$418,036 交易量

<1%

Ferran Torres

$538,100 交易量

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$178,559 交易量

<1%

Luis Diaz

$461,771 交易量

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$260,525 交易量

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$247,767 交易量

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$443,963 交易量

<1%

Dani Olmo

$436,403 交易量

<1%

Desire Doue

$682,793 交易量

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$1,005,056 交易量

<1%

Sadio Mane

$299,173 交易量

<1%

Rafael Leao

$835,635 交易量

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$1,552,245 交易量

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$428,260 交易量

<1%

Pedri

$490,005 交易量

<1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$582,090 交易量

<1%

Romelu Lukaku

$1,428,077 交易量

<1%

Donyell Malen

$720,499 交易量

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$484,118 交易量

<1%

Dion Beljo

$154,558 交易量

<1%

Endrick

$693,806 交易量

<1%

Florian Wirtz

$474,381 交易量

<1%

Memphis Depay

$332,879 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$36,380,939
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$36,380,939
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lionel Messi" at 52%, followed by "Kylian Mbappe" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" has generated $36.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" is "Lionel Messi" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kylian Mbappe" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.