Skip to main content
icon for 世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽
運動·獎勵100、4.5、100

世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽

icon for 世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽
運動·獎勵100、4.5、100

世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽

$242,113 交易量

Polymarket

$242,113 交易量

Polymarket

Spain

$28,319 交易量

61%

France

$24,741 交易量

57%

England

$11,686 交易量

56%

Argentina

$35,303 交易量

53%

Portugal

$48,489 交易量

52%

Brazil

$7,723 交易量

48%

Netherlands

$5,549 交易量

40%

Germany

$1,028 交易量

38%

Belgium

$2,230 交易量

38%

Norway

$6,128 交易量

32%

Colombia

$3,904 交易量

31%

Mexico

$23,389 交易量

27%

USA

$4,140 交易量

25%

Switzerland

$971 交易量

23%

Turkiye

$1,823 交易量

23%

Japan

$10,371 交易量

23%

Morocco

$2,809 交易量

22%

Croatia

$2,937 交易量

21%

Uruguay

$357 交易量

21%

Ecuador

$9,284 交易量

19%

Canada

$258 交易量

15%

Senegal

$671 交易量

15%

Austria

$766 交易量

14%

Ivory Coast

$1,762 交易量

13%

Czechia

$8 交易量

12%

South Korea

$1,307 交易量

11%

Algeria

$129 交易量

10%

Paraguay

$213 交易量

10%

Egypt

$40 交易量

10%

Sweden

$878 交易量

9%

Ghana

$377 交易量

8%

Scotland

$14 交易量

8%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$493 交易量

7%

Iran

$226 交易量

7%

Australia

$0 交易量

6%

Uzbekistan

$0 交易量

5%

South Africa

$529 交易量

5%

DR Congo

$2,478 交易量

4%

Saudi Arabia

$807 交易量

4%

Jordan

$0 交易量

4%

Tunisia

$503 交易量

3%

Haiti

$0 交易量

3%

Qatar

$16 交易量

3%

Iraq

$3 交易量

3%

Panama

$43 交易量

2%

New Zealand

$172 交易量

2%

Cape Verde

$138 交易量

2%

Curacao

$215 交易量

1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup opens June 11 with an expanded 48-team field and altered group structure that increases the number of sides advancing to the knockout rounds. Trader sentiment centers on the established European and South American powers—Spain, France, England, Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal—whose deep squads, recent major-tournament pedigree, and depth across positions underpin high implied probabilities of quarterfinal qualification. Spain enters on the back of Euro 2024 and Nations League success with an emerging core led by Lamine Yamal, while France and England rely on proven match-winners such as Kylian Mbappé and Jude Bellingham. Late roster adjustments and fitness concerns surrounding Lionel Messi, Alphonso Davies, and several defensive options have introduced modest uncertainty, yet the overall market reflects the historical reliability of these nations in reaching the final eight when healthy.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$242,113
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup opens June 11 with an expanded 48-team field and altered group structure that increases the number of sides advancing to the knockout rounds. Trader sentiment centers on the established European and South American powers—Spain, France, England, Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal—whose deep squads, recent major-tournament pedigree, and depth across positions underpin high implied probabilities of quarterfinal qualification. Spain enters on the back of Euro 2024 and Nations League success with an emerging core led by Lamine Yamal, while France and England rely on proven match-winners such as Kylian Mbappé and Jude Bellingham. Late roster adjustments and fitness concerns surrounding Lionel Messi, Alphonso Davies, and several defensive options have introduced modest uncertainty, yet the overall market reflects the historical reliability of these nations in reaching the final eight when healthy.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$242,113
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 61%, followed by "France" at 57%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽" has generated $242.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽" is "Spain" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 57%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.