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運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

世界盃：進入決賽的國家

icon for 世界盃：進入決賽的國家
運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

世界盃：進入決賽的國家

$656,448 交易量

2026-07-20
Polymarket

$656,448 交易量

Polymarket

Spain

$35,956 交易量

32%

France

$33,295 交易量

26%

England

$32,790 交易量

24%

Portugal

$48,082 交易量

23%

Argentina

$19,760 交易量

23%

Brazil

$28,767 交易量

18%

Germany

$7,144 交易量

14%

Netherlands

$27,822 交易量

12%

Morocco

$35,431 交易量

8%

Mexico

$116,067 交易量

7%

Belgium

$14,805 交易量

7%

USA

$29,197 交易量

6%

Colombia

$18,112 交易量

6%

Norway

$50,672 交易量

6%

Japan

$18,230 交易量

5%

Uruguay

$8,746 交易量

4%

Switzerland

$18,666 交易量

4%

Croatia

$7,988 交易量

4%

Ecuador

$12,553 交易量

3%

New Zealand

$514 交易量

2%

Senegal

$10,044 交易量

2%

Austria

$3,041 交易量

2%

Canada

$2,755 交易量

2%

Sweden

$1,703 交易量

2%

South Korea

$3,486 交易量

2%

Ivory Coast

$5,723 交易量

2%

South Africa

$208 交易量

2%

Scotland

$3,483 交易量

2%

Czechia

$4,006 交易量

2%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$597 交易量

2%

Qatar

$308 交易量

2%

Ghana

$161 交易量

2%

Algeria

$198 交易量

2%

Turkiye

$42,008 交易量

1%

Paraguay

$698 交易量

1%

Australia

$93 交易量

1%

Tunisia

$249 交易量

1%

Egypt

$1,437 交易量

1%

Saudi Arabia

$1,715 交易量

1%

Iran

$1,053 交易量

1%

DR Congo

$216 交易量

1%

Uzbekistan

$2,649 交易量

1%

Jordan

$483 交易量

1%

Curacao

$1,049 交易量

<1%

Cape Verde

$3,636 交易量

<1%

Panama

$648 交易量

<1%

Iraq

$196 交易量

<1%

Haiti

$365 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France stand out as the leading contenders to reach the 2026 World Cup final, driven by Spain’s Euro 2024 title and depth featuring Lamine Yamal alongside France’s proven squad led by Kylian Mbappe. England follows closely with Jude Bellingham anchoring a talented roster, while Brazil and Argentina remain strong South American options despite Brazil’s opening 1-1 draw with Morocco. Early group-stage results, including the United States’ 4-1 win over Paraguay and Mexico’s 2-0 victory, have modestly shortened host-nation odds but left them as longer shots compared to the European frontrunners. The expanded 48-team format and path through the knockout rounds will test squad rotation, injury management, and recovery from the group phase as markets adjust to form and matchups.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$656,448
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France stand out as the leading contenders to reach the 2026 World Cup final, driven by Spain’s Euro 2024 title and depth featuring Lamine Yamal alongside France’s proven squad led by Kylian Mbappe. England follows closely with Jude Bellingham anchoring a talented roster, while Brazil and Argentina remain strong South American options despite Brazil’s opening 1-1 draw with Morocco. Early group-stage results, including the United States’ 4-1 win over Paraguay and Mexico’s 2-0 victory, have modestly shortened host-nation odds but left them as longer shots compared to the European frontrunners. The expanded 48-team format and path through the knockout rounds will test squad rotation, injury management, and recovery from the group phase as markets adjust to form and matchups.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$656,448
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃：進入決賽的國家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 32%, followed by "France" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界盃：進入決賽的國家" has generated $656.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界盃：進入決賽的國家," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界盃：進入決賽的國家" is "Spain" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界盃：進入決賽的國家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.