The 2026 World Cup group stage has only just begun across North American venues, leaving trader consensus tightly bunched because no team has yet built a meaningful edge in shutouts. Strong defensive units from Spain, France, England, and Argentina enter with elite goalkeepers and recent form that supports clean-sheet potential, yet their paths feature varied group opponents and possible knockout extensions that reward consistency over flash. Brazil and Portugal sit close behind on squad depth and historical records, while underdogs retain realistic upset value in a 48-team field where injuries, fatigue, and schedule congestion can quickly shift momentum. This balance keeps implied probabilities clustered near even money among the leaders, reflecting broad uncertainty until more matches accumulate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Argentina 14%
France 14%
Brazil 10%
Portugal 9%
Argentina
14%
France
14%
Brazil
10%
Portugal
9%
Spain
8%
Germany
7%
Mexico
7%
England
6%
Belgium
5%
Morocco
4%
Colombia
4%
South Korea
3%
Australia
3%
Uruguay
3%
Canada
3%
Japan
3%
Jordan
3%
Czechia
3%
Switzerland
3%
Ivory Coast
3%
Norway
3%
Netherlands
3%
Türkiye
3%
Austria
3%
New Zealand
2%
Ecuador
2%
Algeria
2%
Egypt
2%
Qatar
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Sweden
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Paraguay
2%
Haiti
2%
Tunisia
2%
Curaçao
2%
Scotland
2%
Iran
2%
Croatia
2%
DR Congo
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
South Africa
1%
Cape Verde
1%
Ghana
1%
Iraq
1%
United States
1%
Senegal
1%
Panama
1%
Argentina 14%
France 14%
Brazil 10%
Portugal 9%
Argentina
14%
France
14%
Brazil
10%
Portugal
9%
Spain
8%
Germany
7%
Mexico
7%
England
6%
Belgium
5%
Morocco
4%
Colombia
4%
South Korea
3%
Australia
3%
Uruguay
3%
Canada
3%
Japan
3%
Jordan
3%
Czechia
3%
Switzerland
3%
Ivory Coast
3%
Norway
3%
Netherlands
3%
Türkiye
3%
Austria
3%
New Zealand
2%
Ecuador
2%
Algeria
2%
Egypt
2%
Qatar
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Sweden
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Paraguay
2%
Haiti
2%
Tunisia
2%
Curaçao
2%
Scotland
2%
Iran
2%
Croatia
2%
DR Congo
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
South Africa
1%
Cape Verde
1%
Ghana
1%
Iraq
1%
United States
1%
Senegal
1%
Panama
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the team that conceded the fewest total goals. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the team that is listed first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the team that conceded the fewest total goals. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the team that is listed first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 World Cup group stage has only just begun across North American venues, leaving trader consensus tightly bunched because no team has yet built a meaningful edge in shutouts. Strong defensive units from Spain, France, England, and Argentina enter with elite goalkeepers and recent form that supports clean-sheet potential, yet their paths feature varied group opponents and possible knockout extensions that reward consistency over flash. Brazil and Portugal sit close behind on squad depth and historical records, while underdogs retain realistic upset value in a 48-team field where injuries, fatigue, and schedule congestion can quickly shift momentum. This balance keeps implied probabilities clustered near even money among the leaders, reflecting broad uncertainty until more matches accumulate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions