USA's commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their World Cup opener, combined with co-host status and a deep squad featuring experienced CONCACAF talent, underpins the 71.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group D. Australia’s 2-0 win against Türkiye on the same matchday maintains realistic contention at 19.8%, bolstered by recent Socceroos form and favorable remaining fixtures against lower-ranked sides. Türkiye and Paraguay sit at 7.5% and 1.6% respectively after opening defeats that leave them needing multiple results to overtake the leaders, with group positioning hinging on the upcoming USA-Australia clash and head-to-head differentials. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices factors in historical home performance, current form, and the tight schedule through June 25.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於美國 72%
澳大利亞 19.9%
土耳其 8%
巴拉圭 1.6%
$850,546 交易量
$850,546 交易量
2026-06-27
美國
72%
澳大利亞
20%
土耳其
8%
巴拉圭
2%
美國 72%
澳大利亞 19.9%
土耳其 8%
巴拉圭 1.6%
$850,546 交易量
$850,546 交易量
2026-06-27
美國
$263,132 交易量
72%
澳大利亞
$84,919 交易量
20%
土耳其
$316,830 交易量
8%
巴拉圭
$185,728 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USA's commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their World Cup opener, combined with co-host status and a deep squad featuring experienced CONCACAF talent, underpins the 71.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group D. Australia’s 2-0 win against Türkiye on the same matchday maintains realistic contention at 19.8%, bolstered by recent Socceroos form and favorable remaining fixtures against lower-ranked sides. Türkiye and Paraguay sit at 7.5% and 1.6% respectively after opening defeats that leave them needing multiple results to overtake the leaders, with group positioning hinging on the upcoming USA-Australia clash and head-to-head differentials. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices factors in historical home performance, current form, and the tight schedule through June 25.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
交易量
$850,546結束日期
2026-06-27市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USA's commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their World Cup opener, combined with co-host status and a deep squad featuring experienced CONCACAF talent, underpins the 71.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group D. Australia’s 2-0 win against Türkiye on the same matchday maintains realistic contention at 19.8%, bolstered by recent Socceroos form and favorable remaining fixtures against lower-ranked sides. Türkiye and Paraguay sit at 7.5% and 1.6% respectively after opening defeats that leave them needing multiple results to overtake the leaders, with group positioning hinging on the upcoming USA-Australia clash and head-to-head differentials. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices factors in historical home performance, current form, and the tight schedule through June 25.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$850,546結束日期
2026-06-27市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...USA's commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their World Cup opener, combined with co-host status and a deep squad featuring experienced CONCACAF talent, underpins the 71.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group D. Australia’s 2-0 win against Türkiye on the same matchday maintains realistic contention at 19.8%, bolstered by recent Socceroos form and favorable remaining fixtures against lower-ranked sides. Türkiye and Paraguay sit at 7.5% and 1.6% respectively after opening defeats that leave them needing multiple results to overtake the leaders, with group positioning hinging on the upcoming USA-Australia clash and head-to-head differentials. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices factors in historical home performance, current form, and the tight schedule through June 25.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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