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運動·FIFA世界杯

世界盃：隊伍進入淘汰賽階段

icon for 世界盃：隊伍進入淘汰賽階段
運動·FIFA世界杯

世界盃：隊伍進入淘汰賽階段

$1,536,893 交易量

2026-06-28
Polymarket

$1,536,893 交易量

Polymarket

Spain

$40,983 交易量

98%

Brazil

$34,082 交易量

98%

France

$47,574 交易量

96%

England

$18,411 交易量

96%

Germany

$19,292 交易量

96%

Portugal

$25,362 交易量

96%

Belgium

$15,743 交易量

96%

Argentina

$18,046 交易量

96%

Switzerland

$69,382 交易量

94%

Netherlands

$21,040 交易量

92%

Mexico

$27,987 交易量

92%

Colombia

$15,599 交易量

90%

Ecuador

$13,004 交易量

88%

Uruguay

$10,511 交易量

88%

Morocco

$18,625 交易量

87%

Canada

$28,185 交易量

86%

Norway

$74,789 交易量

86%

USA

$34,444 交易量

84%

Croatia

$48,020 交易量

83%

Austria

$21,477 交易量

81%

Turkiye

$17,499 交易量

80%

Ivory Coast

$8,676 交易量

79%

Japan

$9,673 交易量

79%

Egypt

$3,966 交易量

71%

Senegal

$48,706 交易量

71%

South Korea

$7,079 交易量

70%

Czechia

$2,545 交易量

70%

Scotland

$45,180 交易量

70%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$19,751 交易量

66%

Algeria

$9,851 交易量

66%

Paraguay

$19,926 交易量

64%

Sweden

$12,911 交易量

63%

Iran

$11,710 交易量

61%

Ghana

$68,992 交易量

51%

Australia

$22,595 交易量

45%

DR Congo

$14,608 交易量

44%

South Africa

$8,326 交易量

39%

Tunisia

$41,983 交易量

37%

Saudi Arabia

$80,659 交易量

37%

Panama

$32,036 交易量

35%

Uzbekistan

$18,628 交易量

32%

New Zealand

$70,558 交易量

31%

Cape Verde

$10,655 交易量

31%

Jordan

$43,524 交易量

21%

Qatar

$59,663 交易量

21%

Iraq

$169,301 交易量

15%

Haiti

$54,360 交易量

13%

Curacao

$21,923 交易量

8%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opens with 48 teams across 12 groups, where the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-place sides advance to the Round of 32 knockout phase. Trader sentiment reflects pre-tournament form, with Spain, France, Argentina, and Brazil carrying the strongest implied probabilities due to deep squads, recent major-tournament success, and favorable group draws. Host nations Mexico, the United States, and Canada face more balanced groups and must navigate early fixtures plus potential rotation concerns. Key variables include official injury reports ahead of opening matches, head-to-head history within groups, and the expanded third-place qualification rule that rewards goal differential and results against stronger sides. Schedule congestion and travel across North America could influence later group games.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,536,893
結束日期
2026-06-28
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opens with 48 teams across 12 groups, where the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-place sides advance to the Round of 32 knockout phase. Trader sentiment reflects pre-tournament form, with Spain, France, Argentina, and Brazil carrying the strongest implied probabilities due to deep squads, recent major-tournament success, and favorable group draws. Host nations Mexico, the United States, and Canada face more balanced groups and must navigate early fixtures plus potential rotation concerns. Key variables include official injury reports ahead of opening matches, head-to-head history within groups, and the expanded third-place qualification rule that rewards goal differential and results against stronger sides. Schedule congestion and travel across North America could influence later group games.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,536,893
結束日期
2026-06-28
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃：隊伍進入淘汰賽階段" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 98%, followed by "Brazil" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界盃：隊伍進入淘汰賽階段" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界盃：隊伍進入淘汰賽階段," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界盃：隊伍進入淘汰賽階段" is "Spain" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brazil" at 98%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界盃：隊伍進入淘汰賽階段" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.