The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 48 teams and 104 matches rather than the prior 64, forms the core driver behind the Over 264.5 line trading at 79.5% implied probability. Recent tournaments have trended goal-heavy, with 2.69 goals per game in 2022 producing a record 172 total goals, and analysts project similar or higher rates across the larger field due to more group-stage fixtures and attacking styles prevalent in modern soccer. Even conservative historical averages yield well over 260 goals, while stronger offensive trends from qualifiers and recent form point toward 270-280 or more. This structural shift, combined with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing, explains the strong market lean toward the over despite inherent variability in knockout stages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Over
最新
最新
2026-07-20
Over
最新
最新
2026-07-20
If the cumulative total for goals recorded is 265 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If at any point it becomes mathematically impossible for the tournament to reach 265 total goals given the number of matches remaining, this market will resolve to "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the more than listed number of goals to be scored, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined goals total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 48 teams and 104 matches rather than the prior 64, forms the core driver behind the Over 264.5 line trading at 79.5% implied probability. Recent tournaments have trended goal-heavy, with 2.69 goals per game in 2022 producing a record 172 total goals, and analysts project similar or higher rates across the larger field due to more group-stage fixtures and attacking styles prevalent in modern soccer. Even conservative historical averages yield well over 260 goals, while stronger offensive trends from qualifiers and recent form point toward 270-280 or more. This structural shift, combined with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing, explains the strong market lean toward the over despite inherent variability in knockout stages.
If the cumulative total for goals recorded is 265 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If at any point it becomes mathematically impossible for the tournament to reach 265 total goals given the number of matches remaining, this market will resolve to "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the more than listed number of goals to be scored, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined goals total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
If at any point it becomes mathematically impossible for the tournament to reach 265 total goals given the number of matches remaining, this market will resolve to "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the more than listed number of goals to be scored, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined goals total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
市場開放時間： Jun 8, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
交易量
$482結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the cumulative total for goals recorded is 265 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If at any point it becomes mathematically impossible for the tournament to reach 265 total goals given the number of matches remaining, this market will resolve to "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the more than listed number of goals to be scored, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined goals total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 48 teams and 104 matches rather than the prior 64, forms the core driver behind the Over 264.5 line trading at 79.5% implied probability. Recent tournaments have trended goal-heavy, with 2.69 goals per game in 2022 producing a record 172 total goals, and analysts project similar or higher rates across the larger field due to more group-stage fixtures and attacking styles prevalent in modern soccer. Even conservative historical averages yield well over 260 goals, while stronger offensive trends from qualifiers and recent form point toward 270-280 or more. This structural shift, combined with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing, explains the strong market lean toward the over despite inherent variability in knockout stages.
If the cumulative total for goals recorded is 265 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If at any point it becomes mathematically impossible for the tournament to reach 265 total goals given the number of matches remaining, this market will resolve to "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the more than listed number of goals to be scored, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined goals total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
If at any point it becomes mathematically impossible for the tournament to reach 265 total goals given the number of matches remaining, this market will resolve to "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the more than listed number of goals to be scored, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined goals total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
交易量
$482結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 48 teams and 104 matches rather than the prior 64, forms the core driver behind the Over 264.5 line trading at 79.5% implied probability. Recent tournaments have trended goal-heavy, with 2.69 goals per game in 2022 producing a record 172 total goals, and analysts project similar or higher rates across the larger field due to more group-stage fixtures and attacking styles prevalent in modern soccer. Even conservative historical averages yield well over 260 goals, while stronger offensive trends from qualifiers and recent form point toward 270-280 or more. This structural shift, combined with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing, explains the strong market lean toward the over despite inherent variability in knockout stages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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