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icon for 世界杯冠軍

世界杯冠軍

icon for 世界杯冠軍

世界杯冠軍

西班牙 17.0%

法國 16.1%

葡萄牙 10.9%

英格蘭 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,949,626,848 交易量

西班牙 17.0%

法國 16.1%

葡萄牙 10.9%

英格蘭 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,949,626,848 交易量

icon for 西班牙

西班牙

$37,339,331 交易量

17%

icon for 法國

法國

$43,838,400 交易量

16%

icon for 葡萄牙

葡萄牙

$39,069,753 交易量

11%

icon for 英格蘭

英格蘭

$32,348,522 交易量

11%

icon for 阿根廷

阿根廷

$34,678,260 交易量

9%

icon for 巴西

巴西

$33,863,192 交易量

8%

icon for 德國

德國

$35,737,379 交易量

5%

icon for 荷蘭

荷蘭

$38,384,815 交易量

4%

icon for 挪威

挪威

$37,116,888 交易量

2%

icon for 比利時

比利時

$40,073,734 交易量

2%

icon for 哥倫比亞

哥倫比亞

$39,576,126 交易量

2%

icon for 日本

日本

$39,952,761 交易量

2%

icon for 摩洛哥

摩洛哥

$43,755,505 交易量

2%

icon for 墨西哥

墨西哥

$44,033,789 交易量

1%

icon for 瑞士

瑞士

$38,887,436 交易量

1%

icon for 土耳其

土耳其

$36,752,915 交易量

1%

icon for 美國

美國

$56,353,275 交易量

1%

icon for 烏拉圭

烏拉圭

$39,290,739 交易量

1%

icon for 克羅埃西亞

克羅埃西亞

$44,920,395 交易量

1%

icon for 厄瓜多

厄瓜多

$44,747,476 交易量

1%

icon for 塞內加爾

塞內加爾

$38,732,999 交易量

1%

icon for 象牙海岸

象牙海岸

$52,432,083 交易量

<1%

icon for 奧地利

奧地利

$42,997,375 交易量

<1%

icon for 加拿大

加拿大

$43,964,083 交易量

<1%

icon for 瑞典

瑞典

$29,650,874 交易量

<1%

icon for 南韓

南韓

$48,236,976 交易量

<1%

icon for 蘇格蘭

蘇格蘭

$42,186,653 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃及

埃及

$51,071,918 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊朗

伊朗

$44,395,671 交易量

<1%

icon for 加納

加納

$36,757,393 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿爾及利亞

阿爾及利亞

$44,554,201 交易量

<1%

icon for 波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$27,714,209 交易量

<1%

icon for 巴拉圭

巴拉圭

$41,923,406 交易量

<1%

icon for 剛果民主共和國

剛果民主共和國

$57,612,157 交易量

<1%

icon for 捷克

捷克

$30,913,804 交易量

<1%

icon for 澳洲

澳洲

$46,085,679 交易量

<1%

icon for 紐西蘭

紐西蘭

$45,479,807 交易量

<1%

icon for 海地

海地

$32,022,191 交易量

<1%

icon for 約旦

約旦

$31,607,892 交易量

<1%

icon for 庫拉索

庫拉索

$41,628,754 交易量

<1%

icon for 突尼西亞

突尼西亞

$35,506,384 交易量

<1%

icon for 烏茲別克

烏茲別克

$59,656,927 交易量

<1%

icon for 巴拿馬

巴拿馬

$19,349,383 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊拉克

伊拉克

$28,864,643 交易量

<1%

icon for 南非

南非

$38,234,695 交易量

<1%

icon for 佛得角

佛得角

$40,166,103 交易量

<1%

icon for 卡達

卡達

$41,894,617 交易量

<1%

icon for 沙烏地阿拉伯

沙烏地阿拉伯

$47,597,315 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at 17% and 16.1% implied probability due to their recent European success and squad depth, with Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil clustered just behind. Spain built momentum from its Euro 2024 title through dynamic possession play and emerging talents, while France fields one of the deepest rosters across positions. England benefits from a new managerial setup and consistent qualifying form, and Portugal leverages veteran leadership alongside rising contributors. Argentina and Brazil add historical pedigree and attacking quality, but the expanded 48-team format and balanced group-stage matchups sustain competitive uncertainty among the top tier. This tight clustering reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable paths through the knockout stages.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,949,626,848
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at 17% and 16.1% implied probability due to their recent European success and squad depth, with Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil clustered just behind. Spain built momentum from its Euro 2024 title through dynamic possession play and emerging talents, while France fields one of the deepest rosters across positions. England benefits from a new managerial setup and consistent qualifying form, and Portugal leverages veteran leadership alongside rising contributors. Argentina and Brazil add historical pedigree and attacking quality, but the expanded 48-team format and balanced group-stage matchups sustain competitive uncertainty among the top tier. This tight clustering reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable paths through the knockout stages.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,949,626,848
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界杯冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 17%, followed by "法國" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界杯冠軍 " has generated $1.9 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界杯冠軍 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界杯冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界杯冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.