France and Spain sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market as co-favorites thanks to their elite squad depth and recent dominance in European competition, with Spain holding the edge after capturing the most recent continental title and maintaining an extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures. England’s perfect qualification campaign and Argentina’s status as defending champions keep them firmly in the mix, while Brazil’s attacking talent and Germany’s organizational strength ensure multiple pathways to the trophy remain viable. The expanded 48-team format and favorable group-stage draws for several contenders further tighten the probabilities, as no single side has pulled away in the final weeks before kickoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法国 18.1%
西班牙 16.7%
英格兰 11.3%
巴西 9.0%
$1,018,443,391 交易量
$1,018,443,391 交易量
2026-07-20
法国
18%
西班牙
17%
英格兰
11%
巴西
9%
阿根廷
8%
葡萄牙
8%
德国
5%
荷兰
3%
挪威
2%
日本
2%
比利时
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
2%
美国
2%
摩洛哥
2%
瑞士
1%
乌拉圭
1%
墨西哥
1%
克罗地亚
1%
厄瓜多尔
1%
塞内加尔
1%
土耳其
1%
Austria
1%
瑞典
1%
分组项标题：加拿大
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
苏格兰
<1%
科特迪瓦
<1%
埃及
<1%
加纳
<1%
阿尔及利亚
<1%
波黑
<1%
捷克
<1%
澳大利亚
<1%
新西兰
<1%
海地
<1%
约旦
<1%
库拉索
<1%
伊朗
<1%
突尼斯
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
巴拿马
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
南非
<1%
刚果（金）
<1%
佛得角
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
<1%
法国 18.1%
西班牙 16.7%
英格兰 11.3%
巴西 9.0%
$1,018,443,391 交易量
$1,018,443,391 交易量
2026-07-20
法国
$27,353,839 交易量
18%
西班牙
$21,561,964 交易量
17%
英格兰
$17,728,568 交易量
11%
巴西
$19,022,385 交易量
9%
阿根廷
$18,554,214 交易量
8%
葡萄牙
$20,274,712 交易量
8%
德国
$17,322,926 交易量
5%
荷兰
$19,409,744 交易量
3%
挪威
$17,866,392 交易量
2%
日本
$22,142,065 交易量
2%
比利时
$17,032,737 交易量
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
$15,782,693 交易量
2%
美国
$32,640,688 交易量
2%
摩洛哥
$20,877,748 交易量
2%
瑞士
$18,979,800 交易量
1%
乌拉圭
$17,996,352 交易量
1%
墨西哥
$19,734,499 交易量
1%
克罗地亚
$21,613,692 交易量
1%
厄瓜多尔
$22,297,765 交易量
1%
塞内加尔
$17,834,366 交易量
1%
土耳其
$11,236,511 交易量
1%
Austria
$18,859,969 交易量
1%
瑞典
$10,005,297 交易量
1%
分组项标题：加拿大
$23,129,581 交易量
<1%
South Korea
$24,602,518 交易量
<1%
Paraguay
$19,798,207 交易量
<1%
苏格兰
$18,744,064 交易量
<1%
科特迪瓦
$23,413,809 交易量
<1%
埃及
$23,855,398 交易量
<1%
加纳
$18,303,068 交易量
<1%
阿尔及利亚
$21,979,874 交易量
<1%
波黑
$10,859,797 交易量
<1%
捷克
$9,549,490 交易量
<1%
澳大利亚
$24,063,128 交易量
<1%
新西兰
$31,224,335 交易量
<1%
海地
$18,269,711 交易量
<1%
约旦
$26,209,227 交易量
<1%
库拉索
$36,782,872 交易量
<1%
伊朗
$25,112,040 交易量
<1%
突尼斯
$22,416,871 交易量
<1%
Uzbekistan
$39,266,669 交易量
<1%
巴拿马
$13,199,021 交易量
<1%
伊拉克
$12,765,105 交易量
<1%
南非
$27,425,220 交易量
<1%
刚果（金）
$16,574,617 交易量
<1%
佛得角
$23,212,812 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
$24,832,814 交易量
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
$27,813,488 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France and Spain sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market as co-favorites thanks to their elite squad depth and recent dominance in European competition, with Spain holding the edge after capturing the most recent continental title and maintaining an extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures. England’s perfect qualification campaign and Argentina’s status as defending champions keep them firmly in the mix, while Brazil’s attacking talent and Germany’s organizational strength ensure multiple pathways to the trophy remain viable. The expanded 48-team format and favorable group-stage draws for several contenders further tighten the probabilities, as no single side has pulled away in the final weeks before kickoff.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$1,018,443,391结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France and Spain sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market as co-favorites thanks to their elite squad depth and recent dominance in European competition, with Spain holding the edge after capturing the most recent continental title and maintaining an extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures. England’s perfect qualification campaign and Argentina’s status as defending champions keep them firmly in the mix, while Brazil’s attacking talent and Germany’s organizational strength ensure multiple pathways to the trophy remain viable. The expanded 48-team format and favorable group-stage draws for several contenders further tighten the probabilities, as no single side has pulled away in the final weeks before kickoff.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,018,443,391结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France and Spain sit atop the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market as co-favorites thanks to their elite squad depth and recent dominance in European competition, with Spain holding the edge after capturing the most recent continental title and maintaining an extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures. England’s perfect qualification campaign and Argentina’s status as defending champions keep them firmly in the mix, while Brazil’s attacking talent and Germany’s organizational strength ensure multiple pathways to the trophy remain viable. The expanded 48-team format and favorable group-stage draws for several contenders further tighten the probabilities, as no single side has pulled away in the final weeks before kickoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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