Alabama's strong Republican tilt in statewide contests, reinforced by Donald Trump's 30-point margin in the 2024 presidential vote, underpins the 90.5% Republican consensus for the open gubernatorial seat. Term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey leaves an open race, yet Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville secured the nomination by wide margins in the May primary and faces Democrat Doug Jones in a November rematch of their 2020 Senate contest. Recent polls show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points, consistent with historical GOP performance. A residency lawsuit against Tuberville remains pending but has not shifted polling or trader assessments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout or unforeseen late developments, though Alabama's electoral fundamentals limit such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,111 交易量
$16,111 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$16,111 交易量
$16,111 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$8,004 交易量
91%
民主党
$8,106 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's strong Republican tilt in statewide contests, reinforced by Donald Trump's 30-point margin in the 2024 presidential vote, underpins the 90.5% Republican consensus for the open gubernatorial seat. Term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey leaves an open race, yet Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville secured the nomination by wide margins in the May primary and faces Democrat Doug Jones in a November rematch of their 2020 Senate contest. Recent polls show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points, consistent with historical GOP performance. A residency lawsuit against Tuberville remains pending but has not shifted polling or trader assessments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout or unforeseen late developments, though Alabama's electoral fundamentals limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$16,111结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's strong Republican tilt in statewide contests, reinforced by Donald Trump's 30-point margin in the 2024 presidential vote, underpins the 90.5% Republican consensus for the open gubernatorial seat. Term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey leaves an open race, yet Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville secured the nomination by wide margins in the May primary and faces Democrat Doug Jones in a November rematch of their 2020 Senate contest. Recent polls show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points, consistent with historical GOP performance. A residency lawsuit against Tuberville remains pending but has not shifted polling or trader assessments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout or unforeseen late developments, though Alabama's electoral fundamentals limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,111结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETAlabama's strong Republican tilt in statewide contests, reinforced by Donald Trump's 30-point margin in the 2024 presidential vote, underpins the 90.5% Republican consensus for the open gubernatorial seat. Term-limited Gov. Kay Ivey leaves an open race, yet Republican Sen. Tommy Tuberville secured the nomination by wide margins in the May primary and faces Democrat Doug Jones in a November rematch of their 2020 Senate contest. Recent polls show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points, consistent with historical GOP performance. A residency lawsuit against Tuberville remains pending but has not shifted polling or trader assessments. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout or unforeseen late developments, though Alabama's electoral fundamentals limit such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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