Bipartisan legislation such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act has been introduced to restore the full 100% deductibility of gambling losses against winnings, following the 90% cap enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act that took effect for tax year 2026. House Ways and Means Committee Chair Jason Smith and some Republican senators have publicly described the cap as a mistake and supported repeal efforts, with industry figures like Dana White also pressing the administration. However, Senate Republicans blocked early reversal attempts in 2025, and subsequent proposals have not advanced through committee or floor votes amid competing legislative priorities. With the 2026 midterm elections approaching and limited remaining session time, trader consensus assigns an 84% probability to no repeal before 2027, reflecting the procedural and political barriers to swift tax code changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
17% 概率
$71,073 交易量
$71,073 交易量
2026-12-31
是
17% 概率
$71,073 交易量
$71,073 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Bipartisan legislation such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act has been introduced to restore the full 100% deductibility of gambling losses against winnings, following the 90% cap enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act that took effect for tax year 2026. House Ways and Means Committee Chair Jason Smith and some Republican senators have publicly described the cap as a mistake and supported repeal efforts, with industry figures like Dana White also pressing the administration. However, Senate Republicans blocked early reversal attempts in 2025, and subsequent proposals have not advanced through committee or floor votes amid competing legislative priorities. With the 2026 midterm elections approaching and limited remaining session time, trader consensus assigns an 84% probability to no repeal before 2027, reflecting the procedural and political barriers to swift tax code changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$71,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Bipartisan legislation such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act has been introduced to restore the full 100% deductibility of gambling losses against winnings, following the 90% cap enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act that took effect for tax year 2026. House Ways and Means Committee Chair Jason Smith and some Republican senators have publicly described the cap as a mistake and supported repeal efforts, with industry figures like Dana White also pressing the administration. However, Senate Republicans blocked early reversal attempts in 2025, and subsequent proposals have not advanced through committee or floor votes amid competing legislative priorities. With the 2026 midterm elections approaching and limited remaining session time, trader consensus assigns an 84% probability to no repeal before 2027, reflecting the procedural and political barriers to swift tax code changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$71,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan legislation such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act has been introduced to restore the full 100% deductibility of gambling losses against winnings, following the 90% cap enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act that took effect for tax year 2026. House Ways and Means Committee Chair Jason Smith and some Republican senators have publicly described the cap as a mistake and supported repeal efforts, with industry figures like Dana White also pressing the administration. However, Senate Republicans blocked early reversal attempts in 2025, and subsequent proposals have not advanced through committee or floor votes amid competing legislative priorities. With the 2026 midterm elections approaching and limited remaining session time, trader consensus assigns an 84% probability to no repeal before 2027, reflecting the procedural and political barriers to swift tax code changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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