The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and scheduled to apply starting in tax year 2026, faces limited prospects for repeal before 2027. Bipartisan legislation such as the FAIR BET Act has been introduced to restore the prior 100% deduction limit against winnings, with support from industry figures including a May 2026 letter to the administration, yet these measures have stalled without floor action or inclusion in must-pass fiscal packages. Congressional priorities in the current session have centered on other tax and appropriations matters, leaving repeal efforts without sufficient momentum to overcome procedural hurdles before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% probability for no repeal aligns with the absence of recent legislative breakthroughs or scheduled votes capable of altering the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
16% 概率
$71,073 交易量
$71,073 交易量
2026-12-31
是
16% 概率
$71,073 交易量
$71,073 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and scheduled to apply starting in tax year 2026, faces limited prospects for repeal before 2027. Bipartisan legislation such as the FAIR BET Act has been introduced to restore the prior 100% deduction limit against winnings, with support from industry figures including a May 2026 letter to the administration, yet these measures have stalled without floor action or inclusion in must-pass fiscal packages. Congressional priorities in the current session have centered on other tax and appropriations matters, leaving repeal efforts without sufficient momentum to overcome procedural hurdles before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% probability for no repeal aligns with the absence of recent legislative breakthroughs or scheduled votes capable of altering the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$71,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and scheduled to apply starting in tax year 2026, faces limited prospects for repeal before 2027. Bipartisan legislation such as the FAIR BET Act has been introduced to restore the prior 100% deduction limit against winnings, with support from industry figures including a May 2026 letter to the administration, yet these measures have stalled without floor action or inclusion in must-pass fiscal packages. Congressional priorities in the current session have centered on other tax and appropriations matters, leaving repeal efforts without sufficient momentum to overcome procedural hurdles before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% probability for no repeal aligns with the absence of recent legislative breakthroughs or scheduled votes capable of altering the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$71,073结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and scheduled to apply starting in tax year 2026, faces limited prospects for repeal before 2027. Bipartisan legislation such as the FAIR BET Act has been introduced to restore the prior 100% deduction limit against winnings, with support from industry figures including a May 2026 letter to the administration, yet these measures have stalled without floor action or inclusion in must-pass fiscal packages. Congressional priorities in the current session have centered on other tax and appropriations matters, leaving repeal efforts without sufficient momentum to overcome procedural hurdles before the end of 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% probability for no repeal aligns with the absence of recent legislative breakthroughs or scheduled votes capable of altering the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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