Trump’s 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act extended and expanded several provisions from the 2017 tax law but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. In August 2026, White House economic advisers floated indexing gains to inflation or raising the home-sale exclusion as potential pre-midterm measures, yet these ideas remain proposals without introduced legislation or committee action. House Republican leaders have cited limited floor time before November elections, pointing instead to a possible lame-duck window, while broader fiscal priorities and debt concerns have slowed additional tax cuts. With roughly fifteen months remaining before 2027 and no enacted rate reduction to date, trader consensus reflects the absence of concrete legislative progress on this specific change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
16% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
16% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act extended and expanded several provisions from the 2017 tax law but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. In August 2026, White House economic advisers floated indexing gains to inflation or raising the home-sale exclusion as potential pre-midterm measures, yet these ideas remain proposals without introduced legislation or committee action. House Republican leaders have cited limited floor time before November elections, pointing instead to a possible lame-duck window, while broader fiscal priorities and debt concerns have slowed additional tax cuts. With roughly fifteen months remaining before 2027 and no enacted rate reduction to date, trader consensus reflects the absence of concrete legislative progress on this specific change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$2,252结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act extended and expanded several provisions from the 2017 tax law but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. In August 2026, White House economic advisers floated indexing gains to inflation or raising the home-sale exclusion as potential pre-midterm measures, yet these ideas remain proposals without introduced legislation or committee action. House Republican leaders have cited limited floor time before November elections, pointing instead to a possible lame-duck window, while broader fiscal priorities and debt concerns have slowed additional tax cuts. With roughly fifteen months remaining before 2027 and no enacted rate reduction to date, trader consensus reflects the absence of concrete legislative progress on this specific change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,252结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETTrump’s 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act extended and expanded several provisions from the 2017 tax law but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. In August 2026, White House economic advisers floated indexing gains to inflation or raising the home-sale exclusion as potential pre-midterm measures, yet these ideas remain proposals without introduced legislation or committee action. House Republican leaders have cited limited floor time before November elections, pointing instead to a possible lame-duck window, while broader fiscal priorities and debt concerns have slowed additional tax cuts. With roughly fifteen months remaining before 2027 and no enacted rate reduction to date, trader consensus reflects the absence of concrete legislative progress on this specific change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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