The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and effective January 1, 2026, remains in place with no fast-track repeal legislation advancing through Congress. Bipartisan measures such as the FAIR BET Act and bills backed by Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Max Miller have been introduced, while industry voices including Dana White called for reversal in May 2026, yet these produced only temporary market movements before stalling amid competing legislative priorities and the provision’s projected revenue contribution. With the rule generating federal receipts and lacking sufficient procedural momentum or broad tax package attachment before year-end 2026, trader consensus assigns an 83.5% implied probability against full repeal occurring prior to 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
17% 概率
$71,078 交易量
$71,078 交易量
2026-12-30
是
17% 概率
$71,078 交易量
$71,078 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and effective January 1, 2026, remains in place with no fast-track repeal legislation advancing through Congress. Bipartisan measures such as the FAIR BET Act and bills backed by Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Max Miller have been introduced, while industry voices including Dana White called for reversal in May 2026, yet these produced only temporary market movements before stalling amid competing legislative priorities and the provision’s projected revenue contribution. With the rule generating federal receipts and lacking sufficient procedural momentum or broad tax package attachment before year-end 2026, trader consensus assigns an 83.5% implied probability against full repeal occurring prior to 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$71,078结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and effective January 1, 2026, remains in place with no fast-track repeal legislation advancing through Congress. Bipartisan measures such as the FAIR BET Act and bills backed by Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Max Miller have been introduced, while industry voices including Dana White called for reversal in May 2026, yet these produced only temporary market movements before stalling amid competing legislative priorities and the provision’s projected revenue contribution. With the rule generating federal receipts and lacking sufficient procedural momentum or broad tax package attachment before year-end 2026, trader consensus assigns an 83.5% implied probability against full repeal occurring prior to 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$71,078结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and effective January 1, 2026, remains in place with no fast-track repeal legislation advancing through Congress. Bipartisan measures such as the FAIR BET Act and bills backed by Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Max Miller have been introduced, while industry voices including Dana White called for reversal in May 2026, yet these produced only temporary market movements before stalling amid competing legislative priorities and the provision’s projected revenue contribution. With the rule generating federal receipts and lacking sufficient procedural momentum or broad tax package attachment before year-end 2026, trader consensus assigns an 83.5% implied probability against full repeal occurring prior to 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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