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icon for 克拉克顿补选:第二名

克拉克顿补选:第二名

icon for 克拉克顿补选:第二名

克拉克顿补选:第二名

伯恩菲斯伯爵 100.0%

奈杰尔·法拉奇 <1%

吉尔斯·沃特灵 <1%

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul <1%

Polymarket

$749,154 交易量

伯恩菲斯伯爵 100.0%

奈杰尔·法拉奇 <1%

吉尔斯·沃特灵 <1%

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul <1%

Polymarket

$749,154 交易量

icon for 奈杰尔·法拉奇

奈杰尔·法拉奇

$89,594 交易量

icon for 吉尔斯·沃特灵

吉尔斯·沃特灵

$4,354 交易量

icon for Jovan Owusu-Nepaul

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul

$2,857 交易量

icon for 马修·本西鲁姆

马修·本西鲁姆

$3,829 交易量

icon for 娜塔莎·奥斯本

娜塔莎·奥斯本

$2,862 交易量

icon for 托尼·麦克

托尼·麦克

$2,457 交易量

icon for 安德鲁·彭伯顿

安德鲁·彭伯顿

$2,974 交易量

icon for 伯恩菲斯伯爵

伯恩菲斯伯爵

$581,181 交易量

icon for 劳伦斯·福克斯

劳伦斯·福克斯

$28,264 交易量

icon for 皮尔斯·科尔宾

皮尔斯·科尔宾

$1,873 交易量

icon for 阿德哈姆·阿尔哈蒂普

阿德哈姆·阿尔哈蒂普

$1,839 交易量

icon for Rees Cowne

Rees Cowne

$2,001 交易量

icon for 凯·史蒂芬斯

凯·史蒂芬斯

$2,704 交易量

icon for 卢克·沃利

卢克·沃利

$2,351 交易量

icon for 约翰·史蒂文斯

约翰·史蒂文斯

$9,108 交易量

icon for 威廉·克鲁斯顿

威廉·克鲁斯顿

$9,575 交易量

icon for 帕梅拉·沃尔福德

帕梅拉·沃尔福德

$1,333 交易量

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Major parties including Labour, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens boycotted the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation, leaving novelty candidate Count Binface as the sole prominent challenger. This structural absence concentrated protest and tactical votes behind Binface, who secured 9,455 votes (26.9 percent) against Farage’s 22,239 (63.3 percent), with every other contender below 500 votes. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Binface in second place reflects the confirmed tally and the absence of any competitive alternatives. Late challenges remain theoretically possible only through verified counting discrepancies or successful candidate disqualifications, both of which appear remote given the scale of the margin and official declarations.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
交易量
$749,154
结束日期
2026-08-13
市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Major parties including Labour, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens boycotted the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation, leaving novelty candidate Count Binface as the sole prominent challenger. This structural absence concentrated protest and tactical votes behind Binface, who secured 9,455 votes (26.9 percent) against Farage’s 22,239 (63.3 percent), with every other contender below 500 votes. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Binface in second place reflects the confirmed tally and the absence of any competitive alternatives. Late challenges remain theoretically possible only through verified counting discrepancies or successful candidate disqualifications, both of which appear remote given the scale of the margin and official declarations.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
交易量
$749,154
结束日期
2026-08-13
市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"克拉克顿补选:第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"伯恩菲斯伯爵",概率为 100%,其次是"奈杰尔·法拉奇",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"克拉克顿补选:第二名"已产生 $749.2K 的总交易量(自Jul 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"克拉克顿补选:第二名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"克拉克顿补选:第二名"的当前领先者是"伯恩菲斯伯爵",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"奈杰尔·法拉奇",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"克拉克顿补选:第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。