Major parties including Labour, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens boycotted the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation, leaving novelty candidate Count Binface as the sole prominent challenger. This structural absence concentrated protest and tactical votes behind Binface, who secured 9,455 votes (26.9 percent) against Farage’s 22,239 (63.3 percent), with every other contender below 500 votes. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Binface in second place reflects the confirmed tally and the absence of any competitive alternatives. Late challenges remain theoretically possible only through verified counting discrepancies or successful candidate disqualifications, both of which appear remote given the scale of the margin and official declarations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于伯恩菲斯伯爵 100.0%
奈杰尔·法拉奇 <1%
吉尔斯·沃特灵 <1%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul <1%
$749,154 交易量
$749,154 交易量

奈杰尔·法拉奇
否

吉尔斯·沃特灵
否

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
否

马修·本西鲁姆
否

娜塔莎·奥斯本
否

托尼·麦克
否

安德鲁·彭伯顿
否

伯恩菲斯伯爵
是

劳伦斯·福克斯
否

皮尔斯·科尔宾
否

阿德哈姆·阿尔哈蒂普
否

Rees Cowne
否

凯·史蒂芬斯
否

卢克·沃利
否

约翰·史蒂文斯
否

威廉·克鲁斯顿
否

帕梅拉·沃尔福德
否
伯恩菲斯伯爵 100.0%
奈杰尔·法拉奇 <1%
吉尔斯·沃特灵 <1%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul <1%
$749,154 交易量
$749,154 交易量

奈杰尔·法拉奇
否

吉尔斯·沃特灵
否

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
否

马修·本西鲁姆
否

娜塔莎·奥斯本
否

托尼·麦克
否

安德鲁·彭伯顿
否

伯恩菲斯伯爵
是

劳伦斯·福克斯
否

皮尔斯·科尔宾
否

阿德哈姆·阿尔哈蒂普
否

Rees Cowne
否

凯·史蒂芬斯
否

卢克·沃利
否

约翰·史蒂文斯
否

威廉·克鲁斯顿
否

帕梅拉·沃尔福德
否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
市场开放时间: Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Major parties including Labour, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens boycotted the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation, leaving novelty candidate Count Binface as the sole prominent challenger. This structural absence concentrated protest and tactical votes behind Binface, who secured 9,455 votes (26.9 percent) against Farage’s 22,239 (63.3 percent), with every other contender below 500 votes. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Binface in second place reflects the confirmed tally and the absence of any competitive alternatives. Late challenges remain theoretically possible only through verified counting discrepancies or successful candidate disqualifications, both of which appear remote given the scale of the margin and official declarations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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