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icon for 哥伦比亚总统选举决选:大多数选票来自波哥大

哥伦比亚总统选举决选:大多数选票来自波哥大

icon for 哥伦比亚总统选举决选:大多数选票来自波哥大

哥伦比亚总统选举决选:大多数选票来自波哥大

$38,599 交易量

Polymarket

$38,599 交易量

icon for 伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗

伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗

$11,436 交易量

49%

icon for 阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉

阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉

$27,163 交易量

47%

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$38,599
结束日期
2026-06-22
市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$38,599
结束日期
2026-06-22
市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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常见问题

"哥伦比亚总统选举决选:大多数选票来自波哥大"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗",概率为 49%,其次是"阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉",概率为 47%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 49¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 49%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哥伦比亚总统选举决选:大多数选票来自波哥大"已产生 $38.6K 的总交易量(自Jun 5, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哥伦比亚总统选举决选:大多数选票来自波哥大"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哥伦比亚总统选举决选:大多数选票来自波哥大"的当前领先者是"伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗",概率为 49%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 49%。紧随其后的结果是"阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉",概率为 47%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哥伦比亚总统选举决选:大多数选票来自波哥大"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。