In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,599 交易量
$38,599 交易量

伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗
49%

阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉
47%
$38,599 交易量
$38,599 交易量

伊万·塞佩达·卡斯特罗
49%

阿贝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里埃拉
47%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间: Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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