Elon Musk’s steady posting rhythm on X, averaging roughly 23–25 original posts and replies per day amid ongoing xAI product refinements and platform oversight, has anchored trader sentiment around the 180-199 range at 44.4% implied probability. Recent activity shows no major spikes from high-stakes news cycles or quiet stretches tied to travel or legal matters, keeping the 200-219 bucket at 30% as a close second. With only two days left in the May 12–19 window, momentum hinges on whether routine engagement with Grok upgrades and user interactions sustains the current pace or dips below historical norms, a pattern traders have priced in based on verified posting velocity rather than speculation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于180-199 44.5%
200-219 30.3%
220-239 12.3%
160-179 7.3%
$9,593,273 交易量
$9,593,273 交易量
2026-05-19
140-159
<1%
160-179
7%
180-199
45%
200-219
30%
220-239
12%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 44.5%
200-219 30.3%
220-239 12.3%
160-179 7.3%
$9,593,273 交易量
$9,593,273 交易量
2026-05-19
140-159
$706,013 交易量
<1%
160-179
$456,949 交易量
7%
180-199
$366,457 交易量
45%
200-219
$348,841 交易量
30%
220-239
$370,866 交易量
12%
240-259
$307,192 交易量
2%
260-279
$291,809 交易量
1%
280-299
$266,272 交易量
<1%
300-319
$322,594 交易量
<1%
320-339
$400,016 交易量
<1%
340-359
$429,849 交易量
<1%
360-379
$416,794 交易量
<1%
380-399
$400,319 交易量
<1%
400-419
$540,275 交易量
<1%
420-439
$157,801 交易量
<1%
440-459
$82,148 交易量
<1%
460-479
$67,044 交易量
<1%
480-499
$29,190 交易量
<1%
500+
$241,769 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s steady posting rhythm on X, averaging roughly 23–25 original posts and replies per day amid ongoing xAI product refinements and platform oversight, has anchored trader sentiment around the 180-199 range at 44.4% implied probability. Recent activity shows no major spikes from high-stakes news cycles or quiet stretches tied to travel or legal matters, keeping the 200-219 bucket at 30% as a close second. With only two days left in the May 12–19 window, momentum hinges on whether routine engagement with Grok upgrades and user interactions sustains the current pace or dips below historical norms, a pattern traders have priced in based on verified posting velocity rather than speculation.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
交易量
$9,593,273结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s steady posting rhythm on X, averaging roughly 23–25 original posts and replies per day amid ongoing xAI product refinements and platform oversight, has anchored trader sentiment around the 180-199 range at 44.4% implied probability. Recent activity shows no major spikes from high-stakes news cycles or quiet stretches tied to travel or legal matters, keeping the 200-219 bucket at 30% as a close second. With only two days left in the May 12–19 window, momentum hinges on whether routine engagement with Grok upgrades and user interactions sustains the current pace or dips below historical norms, a pattern traders have priced in based on verified posting velocity rather than speculation.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,593,273结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s steady posting rhythm on X, averaging roughly 23–25 original posts and replies per day amid ongoing xAI product refinements and platform oversight, has anchored trader sentiment around the 180-199 range at 44.4% implied probability. Recent activity shows no major spikes from high-stakes news cycles or quiet stretches tied to travel or legal matters, keeping the 200-219 bucket at 30% as a close second. With only two days left in the May 12–19 window, momentum hinges on whether routine engagement with Grok upgrades and user interactions sustains the current pace or dips below historical norms, a pattern traders have priced in based on verified posting velocity rather than speculation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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