Traders see Elon Musk's May 2026 tweet totals on X clustering tightly around the 800–960 range, where 880–919 holds the narrowest edge at 13% implied probability amid nearly matched bins from 800–839 through 920–959. This positioning tracks Musk's established rhythm of high-volume posting driven by business updates, public commentary, and platform dynamics, with recent activity levels keeping volumes centered in that band rather than spiking or dropping sharply. Key swing factors include the intensity of news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate output in the remaining weeks, while historical monthly patterns around 800–1,000 provide the baseline traders reference. The outcome remains fluid given how quickly personal posting habits respond to unfolding events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于880-919 13.0%
920-959 11.6%
800-839 10.6%
840-879 10.0%
$2,874,770 交易量
$2,874,770 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
3%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
11%
840-879
10%
880-919
13%
920-959
12%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
880-919 13.0%
920-959 11.6%
800-839 10.6%
840-879 10.0%
$2,874,770 交易量
$2,874,770 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
3%
700-719
3%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
11%
840-879
10%
880-919
13%
920-959
12%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Elon Musk's May 2026 tweet totals on X clustering tightly around the 800–960 range, where 880–919 holds the narrowest edge at 13% implied probability amid nearly matched bins from 800–839 through 920–959. This positioning tracks Musk's established rhythm of high-volume posting driven by business updates, public commentary, and platform dynamics, with recent activity levels keeping volumes centered in that band rather than spiking or dropping sharply. Key swing factors include the intensity of news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate output in the remaining weeks, while historical monthly patterns around 800–1,000 provide the baseline traders reference. The outcome remains fluid given how quickly personal posting habits respond to unfolding events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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