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How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?

icon for How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?

How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?

3 - 4 days 50%

Not Completed 42%

2 - 3 days 41%

4 - 5 days 41%

Polymarket
最新

3 - 4 days 50%

Not Completed 42%

2 - 3 days 41%

4 - 5 days 41%

Polymarket
最新

< 2 days

$10 交易量

39%

2 - 3 days

$0 交易量

41%

3 - 4 days

$0 交易量

50%

4 - 5 days

$0 交易量

41%

5 - 6 days

$0 交易量

41%

> 6 days

$0 交易量

41%

Not Completed

$0 交易量

42%

Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ant Middleton’s father-son Everest push alongside Nimsdai Purja’s Elite Exped team on the Nepal south side has created a tight market because the final summit timeline hinges on rapidly shifting variables. Current acclimatization rotations to Camp 3, combined with fixed ropes expected to reach the summit around mid-May and a narrow weather window of 18–22 May, leave traders weighing how quickly Middleton can move from base camp through the Icefall, Lhotse Face, and South Col without delays from high winds, oxygen logistics, or personal pacing. His military-honed endurance and prior high-altitude experience support the sub-four-day outcomes, yet the inherent unpredictability of late-spring conditions and the need for safe turnaround decisions keep the longer windows and “not completed” outcome equally competitive.

Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.

Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.

If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.

If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.

If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".

The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10
结束日期
2026-05-30
市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ant Middleton’s father-son Everest push alongside Nimsdai Purja’s Elite Exped team on the Nepal south side has created a tight market because the final summit timeline hinges on rapidly shifting variables. Current acclimatization rotations to Camp 3, combined with fixed ropes expected to reach the summit around mid-May and a narrow weather window of 18–22 May, leave traders weighing how quickly Middleton can move from base camp through the Icefall, Lhotse Face, and South Col without delays from high winds, oxygen logistics, or personal pacing. His military-honed endurance and prior high-altitude experience support the sub-four-day outcomes, yet the inherent unpredictability of late-spring conditions and the need for safe turnaround decisions keep the longer windows and “not completed” outcome equally competitive.

Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.

Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.

If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.

If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.

If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".

The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10
结束日期
2026-05-30
市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"3 - 4 days",概率为 50%,其次是"Not Completed",概率为 42%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 50¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 50%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 16, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?"的当前领先者是"3 - 4 days",概率为 50%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 50%。紧随其后的结果是"Not Completed",概率为 42%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。