Ant Middleton’s father-son Everest push alongside Nimsdai Purja’s Elite Exped team on the Nepal south side has created a tight market because the final summit timeline hinges on rapidly shifting variables. Current acclimatization rotations to Camp 3, combined with fixed ropes expected to reach the summit around mid-May and a narrow weather window of 18–22 May, leave traders weighing how quickly Middleton can move from base camp through the Icefall, Lhotse Face, and South Col without delays from high winds, oxygen logistics, or personal pacing. His military-honed endurance and prior high-altitude experience support the sub-four-day outcomes, yet the inherent unpredictability of late-spring conditions and the need for safe turnaround decisions keep the longer windows and “not completed” outcome equally competitive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?
3 - 4 days 50%
Not Completed 42%
2 - 3 days 41%
4 - 5 days 41%
< 2 days
39%
2 - 3 days
41%
3 - 4 days
50%
4 - 5 days
41%
5 - 6 days
41%
> 6 days
41%
Not Completed
42%
3 - 4 days 50%
Not Completed 42%
2 - 3 days 41%
4 - 5 days 41%
< 2 days
39%
2 - 3 days
41%
3 - 4 days
50%
4 - 5 days
41%
5 - 6 days
41%
> 6 days
41%
Not Completed
42%
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ant Middleton’s father-son Everest push alongside Nimsdai Purja’s Elite Exped team on the Nepal south side has created a tight market because the final summit timeline hinges on rapidly shifting variables. Current acclimatization rotations to Camp 3, combined with fixed ropes expected to reach the summit around mid-May and a narrow weather window of 18–22 May, leave traders weighing how quickly Middleton can move from base camp through the Icefall, Lhotse Face, and South Col without delays from high winds, oxygen logistics, or personal pacing. His military-honed endurance and prior high-altitude experience support the sub-four-day outcomes, yet the inherent unpredictability of late-spring conditions and the need for safe turnaround decisions keep the longer windows and “not completed” outcome equally competitive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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