Traders are pricing the week’s tweet volume in a tight cluster around 160–219 because Elon Musk’s posting pace this week has hovered near his typical high-engagement baseline while showing bursts tied to xAI product updates. Recent activity around Grok Build improvements and automation features has generated quick reply chains and viral quotes, sustaining steady output without the extreme spikes seen during major launches or controversies. Historical patterns from similar mid-month periods show he rarely dips below 140 or surges past 250 absent a single dominant news cycle, leaving the market sensitive to any late-week announcement that could accelerate or throttle replies. With several days remaining, the narrow spread between the top three brackets reflects uncertainty over whether routine platform commentary or targeted product teases will dominate the final stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于180-199 20%
200-219 18.4%
160-179 17%
220-239 12.0%
$4,193,604 交易量
$4,193,604 交易量
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
11%
160-179
17%
180-199
20%
200-219
18%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
3%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
200-219 18.4%
160-179 17%
220-239 12.0%
$4,193,604 交易量
$4,193,604 交易量
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
11%
160-179
17%
180-199
20%
200-219
18%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
3%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the week’s tweet volume in a tight cluster around 160–219 because Elon Musk’s posting pace this week has hovered near his typical high-engagement baseline while showing bursts tied to xAI product updates. Recent activity around Grok Build improvements and automation features has generated quick reply chains and viral quotes, sustaining steady output without the extreme spikes seen during major launches or controversies. Historical patterns from similar mid-month periods show he rarely dips below 140 or surges past 250 absent a single dominant news cycle, leaving the market sensitive to any late-week announcement that could accelerate or throttle replies. With several days remaining, the narrow spread between the top three brackets reflects uncertainty over whether routine platform commentary or targeted product teases will dominate the final stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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