Recent weekly tracking on X shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 12–17 posts per day in early May 2026, consistent with his measured pace throughout the year. This steady rhythm, punctuated by occasional spikes around company milestones or public statements, has anchored trader consensus around the 840–959 range as the most probable full-month total. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered because historical patterns offer no dominant outlier scenario, while the remaining two weeks could shift outcomes depending on any high-profile SpaceX or Tesla developments. Traders weigh these consistent baseline volumes against the inherent variability of real-time engagement on the platform.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于880-919 13.1%
840-879 11.4%
800-839 11.2%
920-959 11.1%
$3,142,499 交易量
$3,142,499 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
3%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
13%
920-959
11%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
880-919 13.1%
840-879 11.4%
800-839 11.2%
920-959 11.1%
$3,142,499 交易量
$3,142,499 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
3%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
13%
920-959
11%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weekly tracking on X shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 12–17 posts per day in early May 2026, consistent with his measured pace throughout the year. This steady rhythm, punctuated by occasional spikes around company milestones or public statements, has anchored trader consensus around the 840–959 range as the most probable full-month total. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered because historical patterns offer no dominant outlier scenario, while the remaining two weeks could shift outcomes depending on any high-profile SpaceX or Tesla developments. Traders weigh these consistent baseline volumes against the inherent variability of real-time engagement on the platform.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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