Elon Musk’s relentless pace of commentary on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for his May 2026 tweet total, with the 840-879 range holding a narrow 12.2% edge. Recent weeks have featured steady daily output on AI progress, regulatory debates, and real-time cultural moments, establishing the high-volume baseline that now clusters probabilities tightly across the 800-959 bracket. Adjacent ranges remain competitive because Musk’s activity spikes or dips sharply with breaking news cycles, product launches, and personal posts, creating narrow gaps that reflect historical monthly patterns rather than any single catalyst. Traders are watching for late-month developments in tech or politics that could nudge the final count toward the upper or lower edge of the current frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于840-879 12.0%
800-839 10.6%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,146,928 交易量
$3,146,928 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 12.0%
800-839 10.6%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,146,928 交易量
$3,146,928 交易量
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s relentless pace of commentary on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for his May 2026 tweet total, with the 840-879 range holding a narrow 12.2% edge. Recent weeks have featured steady daily output on AI progress, regulatory debates, and real-time cultural moments, establishing the high-volume baseline that now clusters probabilities tightly across the 800-959 bracket. Adjacent ranges remain competitive because Musk’s activity spikes or dips sharply with breaking news cycles, product launches, and personal posts, creating narrow gaps that reflect historical monthly patterns rather than any single catalyst. Traders are watching for late-month developments in tech or politics that could nudge the final count toward the upper or lower edge of the current frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题