**Current H200 rental rates cluster around a $4–$5.50 median on neocloud and marketplace platforms, with on-demand medians near $4.41 and spot pricing often $2–$3.50, reflecting tight supply-demand balance as of late September 2026.** Hopper H200's 141 GB HBM3e and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth sustain premiums over H100 for memory-bound large language model inference and training, while Blackwell B200/B300 ramps and shifting TSMC capacity exert downward pressure through greater performance-per-dollar availability. Neocloud providers undercut hyperscalers by 50–100%+ on spot and reserved terms, yet persistent frontier AI workloads and limited H200 export flows to China keep utilization elevated. Traders see the narrow probability spread across mid-$4 brackets as the likely outcome absent major new model releases or accelerated Blackwell adoption before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$4.50-$5.00 18%
$4.00-$4.50 17%
$5.00-$5.50 15.2%
$5.50-$6.00 12.3%
$24,315 交易量
$24,315 交易量
低于2.50美元
5%
$2.50-$3.00
4%
$3.00-$3.50
7%
$3.50-$4.00
10%
$4.00-$4.50
17%
$4.50-$5.00
18%
$5.00-$5.50
15%
$5.50-$6.00
12%
$6.00-$6.50
5%
$6.50-$7.00
11%
$7.00-$7.50
7%
7.50美元或以上
6%
$4.50-$5.00 18%
$4.00-$4.50 17%
$5.00-$5.50 15.2%
$5.50-$6.00 12.3%
$24,315 交易量
$24,315 交易量
低于2.50美元
5%
$2.50-$3.00
4%
$3.00-$3.50
7%
$3.50-$4.00
10%
$4.00-$4.50
17%
$4.50-$5.00
18%
$5.00-$5.50
15%
$5.50-$6.00
12%
$6.00-$6.50
5%
$6.50-$7.00
11%
$7.00-$7.50
7%
7.50美元或以上
6%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
**Current H200 rental rates cluster around a $4–$5.50 median on neocloud and marketplace platforms, with on-demand medians near $4.41 and spot pricing often $2–$3.50, reflecting tight supply-demand balance as of late September 2026.** Hopper H200's 141 GB HBM3e and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth sustain premiums over H100 for memory-bound large language model inference and training, while Blackwell B200/B300 ramps and shifting TSMC capacity exert downward pressure through greater performance-per-dollar availability. Neocloud providers undercut hyperscalers by 50–100%+ on spot and reserved terms, yet persistent frontier AI workloads and limited H200 export flows to China keep utilization elevated. Traders see the narrow probability spread across mid-$4 brackets as the likely outcome absent major new model releases or accelerated Blackwell adoption before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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