Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo reckoning, with no prison time (28.5%), 10-20 years (27.9%), and 20-30 years (24.3%) tightly clustered amid his ongoing New York rape retrial. Jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, on the third-degree rape charge against Jessica Mann—carrying up to four years—interrupted by Weinstein's chest pains, highlighting his frail health at 74 (bone marrow cancer, prior heart surgery). This follows a January 2026 ruling upholding his 2025 criminal sex act conviction (Miriam Haley, potential 25 years, sentencing pending), while his California 16-year rape sentence faces skeptical appeals judges. Key differentiators include the imminent NY verdict, stacking sentences, plea possibilities, and age-related leniency, underscoring volatile legal momentum in this landmark Hollywood case.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 28.4%
10-20年 27.5%
20-30年 24.3%
少于5年 9.8%
$928,352 交易量
$928,352 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
28%
少于5年
10%
5-10年
6%
10-20年
28%
20-30年
24%
30年以上
7%
无监禁时间 28.4%
10-20年 27.5%
20-30年 24.3%
少于5年 9.8%
$928,352 交易量
$928,352 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$330,941 交易量
28%
少于5年
$122,724 交易量
10%
5-10年
$72,658 交易量
6%
10-20年
$148,773 交易量
28%
20-30年
$187,259 交易量
24%
30年以上
$65,998 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo reckoning, with no prison time (28.5%), 10-20 years (27.9%), and 20-30 years (24.3%) tightly clustered amid his ongoing New York rape retrial. Jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, on the third-degree rape charge against Jessica Mann—carrying up to four years—interrupted by Weinstein's chest pains, highlighting his frail health at 74 (bone marrow cancer, prior heart surgery). This follows a January 2026 ruling upholding his 2025 criminal sex act conviction (Miriam Haley, potential 25 years, sentencing pending), while his California 16-year rape sentence faces skeptical appeals judges. Key differentiators include the imminent NY verdict, stacking sentences, plea possibilities, and age-related leniency, underscoring volatile legal momentum in this landmark Hollywood case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$928,352结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo reckoning, with no prison time (28.5%), 10-20 years (27.9%), and 20-30 years (24.3%) tightly clustered amid his ongoing New York rape retrial. Jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, on the third-degree rape charge against Jessica Mann—carrying up to four years—interrupted by Weinstein's chest pains, highlighting his frail health at 74 (bone marrow cancer, prior heart surgery). This follows a January 2026 ruling upholding his 2025 criminal sex act conviction (Miriam Haley, potential 25 years, sentencing pending), while his California 16-year rape sentence faces skeptical appeals judges. Key differentiators include the imminent NY verdict, stacking sentences, plea possibilities, and age-related leniency, underscoring volatile legal momentum in this landmark Hollywood case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$928,352结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo reckoning, with no prison time (28.5%), 10-20 years (27.9%), and 20-30 years (24.3%) tightly clustered amid his ongoing New York rape retrial. Jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, on the third-degree rape charge against Jessica Mann—carrying up to four years—interrupted by Weinstein's chest pains, highlighting his frail health at 74 (bone marrow cancer, prior heart surgery). This follows a January 2026 ruling upholding his 2025 criminal sex act conviction (Miriam Haley, potential 25 years, sentencing pending), while his California 16-year rape sentence faces skeptical appeals judges. Key differentiators include the imminent NY verdict, stacking sentences, plea possibilities, and age-related leniency, underscoring volatile legal momentum in this landmark Hollywood case.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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